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The impact of EU Eastern enlargement on urban growth and decline: New insights from Germany's Eastern border

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  • Bastian Heider

Abstract

This paper uses the quasi‐experimental setting of the 2004 EU enlargement, as well as town‐level data along the affected German border, to estimate the effect of economic integration on border town population development. Using a difference‐in‐differences approach, we find that the accession has had a significant positive effect on the rate of population change after 2004. However, this does not offset the, generally, poorer population development of border towns compared to interior towns. Moreover, the integration effect appears to strongly depend on initial local conditions. No effects were found for Polish towns on the opposite side of the border. Este artículo utiliza el marco cuasiexperimental de la ampliación de la UE de 2004, así como datos a nivel de ciudad a lo largo de la frontera alemana afectada, para estimar el efecto de la integración económica en el desarrollo de la población de las ciudades fronterizas. El estudio utiliza un enfoque de diferencias en diferencias y encontró que la adhesión ha tenido un efecto positivo significativo en la tasa de cambio de población después de 2004. Sin embargo, esto no compensa el menor desarrollo, en general, de la población de las ciudades fronterizas en comparación con las ciudades del interior. Además, el efecto de integración parece depender en gran medida de las condiciones locales iniciales. No se encontraron efectos en las ciudades polacas del otro lado de la frontera. 本論文では、2004年のEU拡大の準実験的設定と、その影響を受けたドイツ国境の都市レベルデータを用いて、経済統合による国境都市の人口増加に対する影響を推定した。差分の差分法のアプローチを用いて、加盟が2004年以降の人口の変化率に対して有意な正の効果があることを見出した。しかしながら、これは、内部の都市と比較して、概して少ない国境都市の人口増加を相殺するものではない。さらに、統合の効果は地域の当初の条件に強く依存すると考えられる。国境の反対側に位置するポーランドの都市には影響は見られなかった。

Suggested Citation

  • Bastian Heider, 2019. "The impact of EU Eastern enlargement on urban growth and decline: New insights from Germany's Eastern border," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 98(3), pages 1443-1468, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:presci:v:98:y:2019:i:3:p:1443-1468
    DOI: 10.1111/pirs.12407
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    Cited by:

    1. Chich-Ping Hu & Tai-Shan Hu & Peilei Fan & Hai-Ping Lin, 2020. "The Urban Blight Costs in Taiwan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-16, December.
    2. Galina Anatolievna Khmeleva & Valerii Konstantinovich Semenychev & Anastasiya Aleksandrovna Korobetskaya & Marina Viktorovna Kurnikova & Roman Fedorenko & Balázs István Tóth, 2023. "Comparative Research of Internal and Border Regions: Analyzing the Differences in the Cyclical Dynamics of Industries for Industrial Policy and Territorial Development," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-20, March.
    3. Lucie Coufalová & Fanny Dellinger & Peter Huber & Stepan Mikula, 2024. "Borders and Population Growth: Evidence from a Century of Border Regime Changes on the Austrian-Czech Border," WIFO Working Papers 680, WIFO.
    4. Vermeulen, Wessel N., 2022. "Stuck outside the single market; Evidence from firms in central and eastern Europe," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(2), pages 415-434.
    5. Mitze, Timo & Breidenbach, Philipp, 2023. "The complex regional effects of macro-institutional shocks: Evidence from EU economic integration over three decades," Ruhr Economic Papers 1007, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    6. Christophe Sohn & Julien Licheron & Evert Meijers, 2022. "Border cities: Out of the shadow," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 101(2), pages 417-438, April.

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