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Impact Of Regulated Price Adjustments On Price Variability In A Very Low Inflation Transition Economy: Case Of Armenia

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  • Aghassi Mkrtchyan

Abstract

The impact of macroeconomic management (monetary policy) and administrative price adjustments on price variability in a low inflation economy characterized by relatively frequent administrative price adjustments is examined. Fluctuations of market determined prices, prices of agricultural goods in particular, are linked to the lack of synchronization between administrative price changes and monetary policy. If monetary policy does not account for expected changes in administrative prices, demand in ???free??? goods markets will shift causing fluctuation of prices for agricultural goods, because the supply of these goods is highly inelastic in Armenia. The findings contribute to a better understanding of agricultural price variability during 1998-2002. The impact of macroeconomic policy and structural adjustments on income distribution and rural poverty incidence are also examined. This research has immediate policy implications since Armenia will undergo major upward price adjustments for goods and services with regulated prices, which may have a negative impact on income distribution if aggregate demand management is unchanged.

Suggested Citation

  • Aghassi Mkrtchyan, 2004. "Impact Of Regulated Price Adjustments On Price Variability In A Very Low Inflation Transition Economy: Case Of Armenia," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp731, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
    • Handle: RePEc:wdi:papers:2004-731
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Henisz, Witold J. & Zelner, Bennet A., 2006. "Interest Groups, Veto Points, and Electricity Infrastructure Deployment," International Organization, Cambridge University Press, vol. 60(1), pages 263-286, January.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inflation; price variability; regulated prices;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination

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