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More than copper: toward the diversification and stabilization of Zambian exports

Author

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  • Brulhart, Marius
  • Dihel, Nora
  • Kukenova, Madina

Abstract

This paper analyzes Zambian export patterns using a new transaction-level trade data set for the period 1999-2011. The data show that, in international comparison, Zambian exports are exceptionally concentrated (on mining products). This reliance has been increasing in recent years. Zambia's exports are also characterized by a high level of churning of firms and products. Multivariate models of survival probabilities suggest that exchange rate volatility and difficult access to imported inputs significantly inhibit diversified and stable exports. The econometric analysis is complemented with a qualitative study of the Zambian export sector. The analysis concludes that one of the main policy levers for unleashing Zambia's full potential as an exporter is by facilitating access to imported inputs. Additional measures that ease foreign exchange transactions, simplify export and certification requirements, and increase the predictability of Zambia's trade regime could be effective to promote Zambia's nontraditional exports.

Suggested Citation

  • Brulhart, Marius & Dihel, Nora & Kukenova, Madina, 2015. "More than copper: toward the diversification and stabilization of Zambian exports," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7151, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:7151
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Olivier Cadot & Julien Gourdon, 2014. "Editor's choice Assessing the Price-Raising Effect of Non-Tariff Measures in Africa," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 23(4), pages 425-463.
    2. Olivier Cadot & Paul Brenton & Martha Denisse Pierola, 2012. "Pathways to African Export Sustainability," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 9380.
    3. Maria Bas & Vanessa Strauss-Khan, 2014. "Does importing more inputs raise exports? Firm-level evidence from France," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-01297202, HAL.
    4. Arvis, Jean-François & Shepherd, Ben & Reis, José Guilherme & Duval, Yann & Utoktham, Chorthip, 2013. "Trade Costs and Development: A New Data Set," World Bank - Economic Premise, The World Bank, issue 104, pages 1-4, January.
    5. Maria Bas & Vanessa Strauss-Kahn, 2014. "Does importing more inputs raise exports? Firm-level evidence from France," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 150(2), pages 241-275, May.
    6. Olivier Cadot & Julien Gourdon, 2012. "Assessing the price-raising effect of non-tariff measures in Africa," Working Papers 2012-16, CEPII research center.
    7. Dorosh, Paul A. & Dradri, Simon & Haggblade, Steven, 2009. "Regional trade, government policy and food security: Recent evidence from Zambia," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 350-366, August.
    8. Aaditya Mattoo & Lucy Payton, 2007. "Services Trade and Development : The Experience of Zambia," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 6697.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mehrotra, Rahul & Carbonnier, Gilles, 2021. "Abnormal pricing in international commodity trade: Empirical evidence from Switzerland," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    2. Leo Vashkor Dewri, 2022. "A Critical Assessment of Interrelationship Among Corporate Governance, Financial Performance, Refined Economic Value Added to Measure Firm Value and Return on Stock," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 13(4), pages 2718-2759, December.

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    Keywords

    Economic Theory&Research; Markets and Market Access; Free Trade; Debt Markets; Emerging Markets;
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