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Public policy and private investment in Turkey

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  • Chhibber, Ajay
  • van Wijnbergen, Sweder

Abstract

Developing countries trying to emerge from recessionary spirals must recognize the importance of public/private interactions in designing growth oriented adjustment programs. They must appreciate the complex impact of fiscal policy on the economy. Turkey is an interesting country for studying how public policy can stimulate private investment. The reason, is that unlike other high debt countries, Turkey has managed to increase the rate of investment in recent years despite external constraints and high real interest rates. Turkey's strategy nevertheless has limits. The surges in public investment in 1986 and 1987 have since hurt macro stability. Private investment has tilted toward such non-tradables as housing - partly as a result of special credit schemes directed at mass housing and partly because housing investment is an attractive investment against inflation. Unless corrected, this shift could hurt future export prospects.

Suggested Citation

  • Chhibber, Ajay & van Wijnbergen, Sweder, 1988. "Public policy and private investment in Turkey," Policy Research Working Paper Series 120, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:120
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Chhibber, Ajay & Kalloor, Akshata, 2016. "Reviving Private Investment in India: Determinants and Policy Levers," Working Papers 16/181, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    2. Öner Günçavdi & Michael Bleaney & Andrew McKay, 1999. "The response of private investment to structural adjustment-a case study of Turkey," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 11(2), pages 221-239.
    3. Öner Güncavdi & Michael Bleaney & Andrew McKay, 2006. "Financial determinants of private investment in Turkey. An Euler Equation Approach to Time Series," EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Finanzas, Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia., vol. 2(2), pages 83-106, Enero-Jun.
    4. Willem Vanlaer & Mattia Picarelli & Wim Marneffe, 2021. "Debt and Private Investment: Does the EU Suffer from a Debt Overhang?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 32(4), pages 789-820, September.
    5. Ahmed Badawi, 2003. "Private capital formation and public investment in Sudan: testing the substitutability and complementarity hypotheses in a growth framework," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(6), pages 783-799.
    6. Krishna Rao Akkina & Mehmet Ali Celebi, 2002. "The Determinants of Private Fixed Investment and the Relationship between Public and Private Capital Accumulation in Turkey," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 41(3), pages 243-254.
    7. Matin, Kazi M. & Wasow, Bernard, 1992. "Adjustment and private investment in Kenya," Policy Research Working Paper Series 878, The World Bank.
    8. Emmanuel Kwasi Mensah & Lawrence Adu Asamoah & Johnson Worlanyo Ahiadorme, 2021. "On the impact of exchange rate uncertainty on private investment in Ghana," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 208-217, January.
    9. B Ouattara, 2004. "Modelling the Long Run Determinants of Private Investment in Senegal," Economics Discussion Paper Series 0413, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    10. Kadir KARAGÖZ, 2010. "Determining Factors of Private Investments: An Empirical Analysis for Turkey," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 2010-1.
    11. Afia Malik, 2013. "Private Investment And Fiscal Policy In Pakistan," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 38(1), pages 83-109, March.
    12. Ajay Chhibber & Mansoor Dailami, 1993. "Fiscal Policy and Private Investment in Developing Countries: Recent Evidence on Key Selected Issues," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Riccardo Faini & Jaime Melo (ed.), Fiscal Issues in Adjustment in Developing Countries, pages 121-150, Palgrave Macmillan.
    13. Oner Guncavdi-super-˙ & Andrew McKay, 2003. "Macroeconomic adjustment and private manufacturing investment in Turkey: a time-series analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(18), pages 1901-1909.
    14. Imtiaz Ahmed & Abdul Qayyum, 2007. "Do Public Expenditure and Macroeconomic Uncertainty Matter to Private Investment? Evidence from Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 46(2), pages 145-161.
    15. Maame Esi Eshun & George Adu & Emmanuel Buabeng, 2014. "The Financial Determinants of Private Investment in Ghana," International Journal of Financial Economics, Research Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 3(1), pages 25-40.
    16. Ahmad, Imtiaz & Qayyum, Abdul, 2009. "Role of Public Expenditures and Macroeconomic Uncertainty in Determining Private Investment in Large Scale Manufacturing Sector of Pakistan," MPRA Paper 29268, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Akçay Selçuk & Karasoy Alper, 2020. "Determinants of private investments in Turkey: Examining the role of democracy," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 20(1), pages 23-49, March.

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