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Macroeconomic adjustment and private manufacturing investment in Turkey: a time-series analysis

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  • Oner Guncavdi-super-˙
  • Andrew McKay

Abstract

Despite the drastic switch to market-based policies and outward orientation in Turkey during the 1980s, private investment in manufacturing industry has still not revived after seventeen years of structural adjustment. This paper examines the main determinants of private investment in the manufacturing sector and the impacts of structural adjustment (particularly financial liberalisation as an integral part of the reform) on it. The results show that liberalisation policies in financial markets appear to have positive effects by reducing the stringency of quantity constraints on investment while the high interest rates resulting from financial liberalisation had no significant impact on investment. Macroeconomic instability, proxied by the variability of the inflation rate, seems to have discouraged investment in manufacturing.

Suggested Citation

  • Oner Guncavdi-super-˙ & Andrew McKay, 2003. "Macroeconomic adjustment and private manufacturing investment in Turkey: a time-series analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(18), pages 1901-1909.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:18:p:1901-1909
    DOI: 10.1080/00036840310001628099
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Guncavdi, Oner & Bleaney, Michael & McKay, Andrew, 1998. "Financial liberalisation and private investment: evidence from Turkey," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(2), pages 443-455.
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    Cited by:

    1. Aytekin GÜVEN & Arzu AKKOYUNLU-WIGLEY, 2018. "The Effects of Market Structure on Uncertainty-Investment Relationship: Evidence from Turkish Manufacturing Industry," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 26(37).
    2. Günçavdi, Öner & Küçük, Ali Erhan, 2013. "Investment expenditure and capital accumulation in an inflationary environment: The case of Turkey," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 554-571.
    3. Oner Guncavdi & Michael Bleaney & Andrew McKay, 2006. "Financial determinants of private investment in Turkey An Euler Equation Approach to Time Series," EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Negocios, Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia., vol. 2(2), pages 71-88, Enero-Jun.
    4. Öner Güncavdi & Michael Bleaney & Andrew McKay, 2006. "Financial determinants of private investment in Turkey. An Euler Equation Approach to Time Series," EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Finanzas, Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia., vol. 2(2), pages 83-106, Enero-Jun.
    5. dogru, bulent & marabaoglu, akif, 2011. "Impact of inflatıon gap to nomınal interest rates: case of Turkey," MPRA Paper 40472, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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