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An empirical analysis of the German long-term interest rate

Author

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  • Butter, Frank A.G. den

    (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Faculteit der Economische Wetenschappen en Econometrie (Free University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics Sciences, Business Administration and Economitrics)

  • Jansen, Pieter W.

Abstract

This paper estimates the short run and long run influences of the main determinants of the German long-term interest rate using quarterly data for the period 1982-1999. A major reason for our focus on the German interest rate is that this rate, and hence its determinants, will be dominant in explaining the developments of the long-term Euro-rate in the intemational capital market. The specification of our interest rate equation encompasses various theories on interest formation. The short-term German interest rate and American and Japanese bond rates appear to be the most prominent determinants of the German (and hence Euro) rate but also the business cycle and the demand for capital play a role in explaining this interest rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Butter, Frank A.G. den & Jansen, Pieter W., 2001. "An empirical analysis of the German long-term interest rate," Serie Research Memoranda 0029, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
    • Handle: RePEc:vua:wpaper:2001-29
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pete Richardson, 1990. "Simulating the OECD INTERLINK Model under Alternative Monetary Policy Rules," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 85, OECD Publishing.
    2. Knot, Klaas, 1995. "On the Determination of Real Interest Rates in Europe," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 20(3), pages 479-500.
    3. William F. Sharpe, 1964. "Capital Asset Prices: A Theory Of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions Of Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 19(3), pages 425-442, September.
    4. Mr. Garry J. Schinasi & T. Todd Smith & Mr. Charles Frederick Kramer, 2001. "Financial Implications of the Shrinking Supply of U.S. Treasury Securities," IMF Working Papers 2001/061, International Monetary Fund.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    German interest rate; interest formation at the capital market; Euro rate; co-integration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

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