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Adult Mortality and Modern Growth

Author

Listed:
  • Davide Fiaschi

    (Dipartimento di Economia e Management (DEM), Università di Pisa)

  • Tamara Fioroni

    (Department of Economics (University of Verona))

Abstract

In this paper we analyze the relationship between (adult) mortality and the long-run development of countries from an empirical and theoretical perspective. A quantitative exploration of the model shows that improvements in adult survival rates alone bring an economy towards a Malthusian regime in the long run, while a transition from a Malthusian to a modern regime requires substantial advances in technological progress. Limited gains in technological progress associated with a strong decline in adult mortality can produce a sort of “false” take-off, i.e. an economy passed from a Malthusian to a pre-modern regime can be pushed back by the increasing demographic pressures.

Suggested Citation

  • Davide Fiaschi & Tamara Fioroni, 2015. "Adult Mortality and Modern Growth," Working Papers 22/2015, University of Verona, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:ver:wpaper:22/2015
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    File URL: http://dse.univr.it/home/workingpapers/wp2015n22.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhang, Jie & Zhang, Junsen & Lee, Ronald, 2003. "Rising longevity, education, savings, and growth," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(1), pages 83-101, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Olufunmilayo Olayemi Jemiluyi & Ifeoluwa Alao-Owunna, 2020. "A Reconsideration of the Health Status – Economic Growth Nexus: Evaluation of the Gender Differential Effect in Nigeria," Eurasian Journal of Economics and Finance, Eurasian Publications, vol. 8(4), pages 217-230.
    2. Fiaschi, Davide & Fioroni, Tamara, 2019. "Transition to modern growth in Great Britain: The role of technological progress, adult mortality and factor accumulation," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 472-490.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Unified Growth Theory; Human Capital; Adult mortality; Non-linear Dynamics; Endogenous Fertility; Industrial Revolution;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • I20 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - General

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