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Simulation of options to replace the special COVID-19 Social Relief of Distress grant and close the poverty gap at the food poverty line

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Listed:
  • Maya Goldman
  • Ihsaan Bassier
  • Joshua Budlender
  • Lindi Mzankomo
  • Ingrid Woolard
  • Murray Leibbrandt

Abstract

We use a fiscal incidence model based on the South African 2014/15 Living Conditions Survey to simulate the poverty reduction impacts of a selection of medium-to-long-term social grant options with the goal of replacing the existing special COVID-19 Social Relief of Distress grant upon its expiry and closing the extreme (food poverty line) poverty gap. Our key findings are that the introduction of a household-targeted family poverty grant is theoretically able to reduce extreme poverty most efficiently; however, it faces stark implementation challenges.

Suggested Citation

  • Maya Goldman & Ihsaan Bassier & Joshua Budlender & Lindi Mzankomo & Ingrid Woolard & Murray Leibbrandt, 2021. "Simulation of options to replace the special COVID-19 Social Relief of Distress grant and close the poverty gap at the food poverty line," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2021-165, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
  • Handle: RePEc:unu:wpaper:wp-2021-165
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Andrew Kerr, 2018. "Job Flows, Worker Flows and Churning in South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 86(S1), pages 141-166, January.
    2. Maya Goldman & Ingrid Woolard & Jon Jellema, 2021. "The Impact of Taxes and Transfers on Poverty and Income Distribution in South Africa 2014/15," Commitment to Equity (CEQ) Working Paper Series 106, Tulane University, Department of Economics.
    3. Maya GOLDMAN & Ingrid WOOLARD & Jon JELLEMA, 2020. "The Impact of Taxes and Transfers on Poverty and Income Distribution in South Africa 2014/2015," Working Paper 148aae17-521b-428b-85de-b, Agence française de développement.
    4. Stephan Klasen & Ingrid Woolard, 2009. "Surviving Unemployment Without State Support: Unemployment and Household Formation in South Africa," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 18(1), pages 1-51, January.
    5. Bassier, Ihsaan & Budlender, Joshua & Zizzamia, Rocco & Leibbrandt, Murray & Ranchhod, Vimal, 2021. "Locked down and locked out: Repurposing social assistance as emergency relief to informal workers," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    6. Martin Wittenberg, 2010. "An introduction to maximum entropy and minimum cross-entropy estimation using Stata," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 10(3), pages 315-330, September.
    7. Hamoudi, Amar & Thomas, Duncan, 2014. "Endogenous coresidence and program incidence: South Africa's Old Age Pension," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 30-37.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ihsaan Bassier & Joshua Budlender & Maya Goldman, 2022. "Social distress and (some) relief: Estimating the impact of pandemic job loss on poverty in South Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2022-80, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    2. Ihsaan Bassier & Joshua Budlender, 2024. "Stimulus effects of a large public employment programme," Working Paper a09be470-a23f-4594-b51a-f, Agence française de développement.

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