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Climate Change Impacts on Moroccan Agriculture and the Whole Economy: An Analysis of the Impacts of the Plan Maroc Vert in Morocco

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  • Ismail Ouraich
  • Wallace E. Tyner

Abstract

The paper provides estimates of economic impacts of climate change, compares these with historical impacts of drought spells, and estimates the extent to which the current Moroccan agricultural development and investment strategy, the Plan Maroc Vert, helps in agricultural adaptation to climate change and uncertainty. We develop a regionalized Morocco Computable General Equilibrium model to analyse the linkages of climate-induced productivity losses (gains) at the level of administrative and economic regions in Morocco.

Suggested Citation

  • Ismail Ouraich & Wallace E. Tyner, 2014. "Climate Change Impacts on Moroccan Agriculture and the Whole Economy: An Analysis of the Impacts of the Plan Maroc Vert in Morocco," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2014-083, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    • Handle: RePEc:unu:wpaper:wp-2014-083
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    File URL: https://www.wider.unu.edu/sites/default/files/wp2014-083.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hasan Dudu & Erol H. Cakmak, 2011. "Regional Impact of the Climate Change: A CGE Analysis for Turkey," Working Papers 644, Economic Research Forum, revised 10 Jan 2011.
    2. Xinshen Diao & Ariel Dinar & Terry Roe & Yacov Tsur, 2008. "A general equilibrium analysis of conjunctive ground and surface water use with an application to Morocco," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 38(2), pages 117-135, March.
    3. World Bank, 2014. "World Development Indicators 2014," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 18237.
    4. Thurlow, James & Zhu, Tingju & Diao, Xinshen, 2009. "The impact of climate variability and change on economic growth and poverty in Zambia:," IFPRI discussion papers 890, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    5. Rehdanz, Katrin & Berrittella, Maria & S.J. Tol, Richard & Zhang, Jian, 2008. "The Impact of Trade Liberalization on Water Use: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 23, pages 631-655.
    6. World Bank, 2010. "World Development Report 2010," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 4387.
    7. William R. Cline, 2007. "Global Warming and Agriculture: Impact Estimates by Country," Peterson Institute Press: All Books, Peterson Institute for International Economics, number 4037, April.
    8. Diao, Xinshen & Roe, Terry & Doukkali, Rachid, 2005. "Economy-wide gains from decentralized water allocation in a spatially heterogenous agricultural economy," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 10(3), pages 249-269, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chatri, Abdellatif & Maarouf, Abdelwahab & Ezzahid, Elhaj, 2015. "Productivité agricole, intégration et transformation structurelle de l’économie marocaine [Agricultural productivity, integration and structural transformation of the Moroccan economy]," MPRA Paper 71774, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jan 2016.

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