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By How Much Does Conflict Reduce Financial Development?

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  • Tony Addison
  • Abdur Chowdhury
  • Mansoob Murshed

Abstract

Financial development is vulnerable to social conflict. Conflict reduces the demand for domestic currency as a medium of exchange and a store of value. Conflict also leads to poor quality governance, including weak regulation of the financial system, thereby undermining the sustainability of financial institutions. Conflict therefore reduces the social return to financial liberalization and other financial-sector reforms. This paper presents a theoretical model integrating the effects of conflict and financial liberalization, and then tests the model on data for 79 countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Tony Addison & Abdur Chowdhury & Mansoob Murshed, 2002. "By How Much Does Conflict Reduce Financial Development?," WIDER Working Paper Series DP2002-48, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    • Handle: RePEc:unu:wpaper:dp2002-48
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    Cited by:

    1. Serhan Cevik & Mohammad Rahmati, 2015. "Breaking the Curse of Sisyphus: An Empirical Analysis of Post-Conflict Economic Transitions," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 57(4), pages 569-597, December.
    2. Lopes da Fonseca, Mariana & Baskaran, Thushyanthan, 2015. "Re-evaluating the economic costs of conflicts," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 246, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
    3. Andriy Polchanov, 2018. "Peculiarities of the Development of Ukraine's Financial Potential in the Period of Military Conflict," Oblik i finansi, Institute of Accounting and Finance, issue 2, pages 96-101, June.
    4. Li, Kaixian & Wang, Dongyu & Xu, Tong & Zhang, Yuqi, 2024. "Financial development and resource-curse hypothesis: Moderating role of internal and external conflict in the MENA region," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    5. Miss Randa Sab, 2014. "Economic Impact of Selected Conflicts in the Middle East: What Can We Learn from the Past?," IMF Working Papers 2014/100, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Selami Sezgin & Sennur Sezgin, 2011. "Economics of Conflict: Turkey’s Experience," Chapters, in: Derek L. Braddon & Keith Hartley (ed.), Handbook on the Economics of Conflict, chapter 15, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    7. Tal Sadeh, 2011. "Hard Currencies For Hard Times. Terror Attacks And The Choice Of Monetary Anchors," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 367-392, June.
    8. Tony Addison & Alemayehu Geda & Philippe Le Billon & S Mansoob Murshed, 2005. "Reconstructing and Reforming the Financial System in Conflict and 'Post-Conflict' Economies," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(4), pages 703-718.
    9. M. Rashel Hasan & Syed Mansoob Murshed, 2017. "Does civil war hamper financial development?," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(2), pages 188-207, March.
    10. Sanjeev Gupta, 2008. "Enhancing Effective Utilization of Aid in Fragile States," WIDER Working Paper Series RP2008-07, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    11. Sushanta Mallick & Brigitte Granville, 2005. "How best to link poverty reduction and debt sustainability in IMF-World Bank models?," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 67-85.
    12. Nataliia Vygovska & Andriy Polchanov, 2019. "Estimation of the Losses of the Ukraine's Financial Potential from Military Conflict," Oblik i finansi, Institute of Accounting and Finance, issue 4, pages 70-77, December.
    13. Mr. Marc G Quintyn & Ms. Genevieve Verdier, 2010. "Mother, Can I Trust the Government? Sustained Financial Deepening: A Political Institutionsview," IMF Working Papers 2010/210, International Monetary Fund.
    14. Syed Mansoob Murshed & Iftekhar Ahmed Robin, 2012. "Financial Liberalization, Savings and the Banking Sector in Bangladesh," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 13(1), pages 69-83, March.
    15. George Mavrotas & Mansoob Murshed, 2005. "The Poverty Macroeconomic Policy Nexus: Some Short-Run Analytics," WIDER Working Paper Series RP2005-75, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    16. Mr. Benedict J. Clements & Mr. Sanjeev Gupta & Shamit Chakravarti & Ms. Rina Bhattacharya, 2002. "Fiscal Consequences of Armed Conflict and Terrorism in Low- and Middle-Income Countries," IMF Working Papers 2002/142, International Monetary Fund.
    17. Gupta, Sanjeev & Clements, Benedict & Bhattacharya, Rina & Chakravarti, Shamit, 2004. "Fiscal consequences of armed conflict and terrorism in low- and middle-income countries," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 403-421, June.

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