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Hard Currencies For Hard Times. Terror Attacks And The Choice Of Monetary Anchors

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  • Tal Sadeh

Abstract

As terror’s victims increase, hard currency commitments gain effectiveness in reducing inflation, and central bank independence loses its effectiveness, because terror reduces transparency and the number of veto players in domestic politics. PCSE (Panel‐Corrected Standard Error) estimations of inflation are run on pooled cross‐section time‐series sample of 87 countries from 1975--2005. When the trend level rises to 100 victims annually a currency board reduces inflation by up to 7.5%, and an independent bank raises inflation by up to 8%. When victims exceptionally exceed the trend by 100, a currency board reduces inflation by 2.5%, and an independent bank raises it by 2%.

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  • Tal Sadeh, 2011. "Hard Currencies For Hard Times. Terror Attacks And The Choice Of Monetary Anchors," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 367-392, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:defpea:v:22:y:2011:i:4:p:367-392
    DOI: 10.1080/10242694.2010.500817
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Afshari , zahra & Daraei , Fatemeh, 2018. "The Impact of Central Bank Independence on Stock Market Volatility," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 13(4), pages 423-441, October.
    2. Ana Carolina Garriga, 2016. "Central Bank Independence in the World: A New Data Set," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(5), pages 849-868, October.
    3. Tadadjeu Wemba, Dessy-Karl & Essiane, Patrick-Nelson Daniel, 2018. "Autonomie des Banques Centrales et Finances Publiques en Afrique subsaharienne [Autonomy of Central Banks and Public Finances in Sub-saharan Africa]," MPRA Paper 100828, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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