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Confidence and the Financial Accelerator

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  • Christian Myohl
  • Yannic Stucki

Abstract

We introduce financial frictions in the spirit of Bernanke, Gertler, and Gilchrist (1999) into a standard RBC model and use the heterogeneous-prior framework of Angeletos, Collard, and Dellas (2018) to accommodate confidence-driven business cycle fluctuations. We show that financial frictions strongly amplify the response to confidence shocks more strongly than the response to fundamental shocks. Furthermore, we show that in the presence of financial frictions, prolonged episodes of unfounded optimism cause boom-bust cycles in investment and to a lesser extent in output. In particular, the financial state of the economy deteriorates severely after the initial boom, which leaves the economy more vulnerable to adverse shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Myohl & Yannic Stucki, 2018. "Confidence and the Financial Accelerator," Diskussionsschriften dp1823, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
    • Handle: RePEc:ube:dpvwib:dp1823
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Christian Myohl, 2018. "The Effect of a Financial Block on the Identification of Confidence Shocks in a Structural VAR Model," Diskussionsschriften dp1821, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.

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    Keywords

    Confidence; sentiments; financial accelerator; financial frictions; higher-order beliefs; higher-order uncertainty; business cycle.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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