IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/trn/utwpas/1406.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

de Finetti's Theory of Probability and its Jaynesian Critique

Author

Listed:
  • K.Vela Velupillai

Abstract

For aesthetic, strategic and pragmatic reasons, E. T. Jaynes (2003, Appendix A) objects to Bruno de Finetti’s founding of probability theory on the basis of the notion of coherence. In this paper an attempt is made to diffuse this critique, as well as to point out, briefly, that these, and the remarks on a variety of foundational issues in mathematics and metamathematics (op.cit, Appendix B) are ahistorical, irrelevant and misguided.

Suggested Citation

  • K.Vela Velupillai, 2014. "de Finetti's Theory of Probability and its Jaynesian Critique," ASSRU Discussion Papers 1406, ASSRU - Algorithmic Social Science Research Unit.
    • Handle: RePEc:trn:utwpas:1406
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.assru.economia.unitn.it/files/DP_6_2014_I.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Velupillai, K., 2000. "Computable Economics: The Arne Ryde Memorial Lectures," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198295273, Decembrie.
    2. de Finetti, Bruno, 1985. "Cambridge Probability Theorists," The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, University of Manchester, vol. 53(4), pages 348-363, December.
    3. Ramsey, Frank P., 1926. "Truth and Probability," Histoy of Economic Thought Chapters, in: Braithwaite, R. B. (ed.),The Foundations of Mathematics and other Logical Essays, chapter 7, pages 156-198, McMaster University Archive for the History of Economic Thought.
    4. Dennis H. Robertson, 1936. "Some Notes on Mr. Keynes' General Theory of Employment," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 51(1), pages 168-191.
    5. K. Vela Velupillai & Ying Fang Kao, 2011. "Herbert A. Simon," ASSRU Discussion Papers 1115, ASSRU - Algorithmic Social Science Research Unit.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. K. Velupillai, 2015. "de Finetti’s theory of probability and its Jaynesian critique," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 32(1), pages 85-95, April.
    2. Itzhak Gilboa & Andrew Postlewaite & Larry Samuelson & David Schmeidler, 2019. "What are axiomatizations good for?," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 86(3), pages 339-359, May.
    3. Chateauneuf, Alain & Eichberger, Jurgen & Grant, Simon, 2007. "Choice under uncertainty with the best and worst in mind: Neo-additive capacities," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 137(1), pages 538-567, November.
    4. Håkan J. Holm, 2004. "Rights and Decentralized Computation," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(2‐3), pages 290-317, May.
    5. Jean Baccelli & Philippe Mongin, 2016. "Choice-based cardinal utility: a tribute to Patrick Suppes," Journal of Economic Methodology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 268-288, July.
    6. Hardaker, J. B., 1982. "Fundamental Aspects Of Risk And Uncertainty In Agriculture," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 21(2), October.
    7. Panagiotidis, Theodore & Printzis, Panagiotis, 2020. "What is the investment loss due to uncertainty?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    8. Chernov, G. & Susin, I., 2019. "Models of learning in games: An overview," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 44(4), pages 77-125.
    9. Courgeau, Daniel, 2012. "Probability and social science : methodologial relationships between the two approaches ?," MPRA Paper 43102, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Joseph E. Stiglitz, 2015. "In Praise of Frank Ramsey's Contribution to the Theory of Taxation," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 0(583), pages 235-268, March.
    11. Mussard, Stéphane & Philippe, Bernard, 2011. "On the links between unemployment rate, monetary creation and the value-added sharing," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 767-774, May.
    12. Omar F. Hamouda, 2012. "The General Theory: Seventy-Five Years Later," Chapters, in: Thomas Cate (ed.), Keynes’s General Theory, chapter 12, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    13. John Kay, 2022. "Commentary on "Selecting futures: The role of conviction, narratives, ambivalence, and constructive doubt" by Fenton‐O'Creevy and Tuckett (2021)," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 4(3-4), September.
    14. Sheri M. Markose, 2005. "Computability and Evolutionary Complexity: Markets as Complex Adaptive Systems (CAS)," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 115(504), pages 159-192, 06.
    15. Zellweger, Thomas & Zenger, Todd, 2022. "Entrepreneurs as scientists, Bayesian inference, and belief revision," Journal of Business Venturing Insights, Elsevier, vol. 18(C).
    16. Carlo Zappia, 2008. "Non-Bayesian decision theory ante-litteram: the case of G. L. S. Shackle," Department of Economic Policy, Finance and Development (DEPFID) University of Siena 0408, Department of Economic Policy, Finance and Development (DEPFID), University of Siena.
    17. Marcello Basili, 2006. "A Rational Decision Rule with Extreme Events," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 26(6), pages 1721-1728, December.
    18. Petr Hebák, 2012. "A Comparison of Classical and Bayesian Probability and Statitics (1) [Srovnání klasické a Bayesovské pravděpodobnosti a statistiky (1.)]," Acta Oeconomica Pragensia, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2012(1), pages 69-87.
    19. Edgardo Bucciarelli & Nicola Mattoscio, 2021. "Reconsidering Herbert A. Simon’s Major Themes in Economics: Towards an Experimentally Grounded Capital Structure Theory Drawing from His Methodological Conjectures," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(3), pages 799-823, March.
    20. Guglielmo Chiodi, 2012. "On Richard Goodwin’s Elementary Economics from the Higher Standpoint," ASSRU Discussion Papers 1219, ASSRU - Algorithmic Social Science Research Unit.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Aesthetics; Coherence; Betting; Robot; Turing Machine;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C02 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Mathematical Economics
    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • C18 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Methodolical Issues: General
    • C44 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Operations Research; Statistical Decision Theory

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:trn:utwpas:1406. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: assru.tm@gmail.com (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/detreit.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.