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Heterogeneity in Manufacturing Growth Risk

Author

Listed:
  • Daan Opschoor

    (Erasmus University Rotterdam)

  • Dick van Dijk

    (Erasmus University Rotterdam)

  • Philip Hans Franses

    (Erasmus University Rotterdam)

Abstract

We analyze output growth risk with respect to financial conditions across U.S. manufacturing industries. Using a multi-level quantile regression approach, we find strong heterogeneity in growth risk, particularly between the more vulnerable durable goods sector and the more resilient nondurable goods sector. Moreover, we show that industry characteristics significantly explain these differences. Large, or material intensive durable goods producing, or energy intensive nondurable goods producing industries are more vulnerable to adverse financial conditions, while industries engaging in labor hoarding, or with a high capital or overhead labor intensity are less susceptible.

Suggested Citation

  • Daan Opschoor & Dick van Dijk & Philip Hans Franses, 2021. "Heterogeneity in Manufacturing Growth Risk," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-036/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20210036
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    downside risk; business cycle; quantile regression; manufacturing; financial conditions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • L16 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Industrial Organization and Macroeconomics; Macroeconomic Industrial Structure
    • L60 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing - - - General

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