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The Event-History Approach to Program Evaluation

Author

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  • Jaap H. Abbring

    (Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam)

Abstract

This paper studies the event-history approach to microeconometric programevaluation. We present a mixed semi-Markov event-history model, discussits application to program evaluation, and analyze its empirical content.The results of this paper provide fundamental insights in what can be learnedfrom longitudinal micro data about, for example, the effects of training programsfor the unemployed on their unemployment durations and subsequentjob stability. They can guide the choice of particular models and methods forthe empirical analysis of such effects. This discussion paper resulted in a publication in: D.L. Millimet, J. Smith, and E. Vytlacil (Eds.), chapter 2 in ' Advances in Econometrics ', 2008, volume 21: Modeling and Evaluating Treatment Effects in Econometrics, 33-55, Elsevier Science, Amsterdam.

Suggested Citation

  • Jaap H. Abbring, 2006. "The Event-History Approach to Program Evaluation," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 06-057/3, Tinbergen Institute, revised 29 Oct 2007.
    • Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20060057
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gerard J. van den Berg & Bas van der Klaauw & Jan C. van Ours, 2004. "Punitive Sanctions and the Transition Rate from Welfare to Work," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 22(1), pages 211-241, January.
    2. Geert Ridder, 1990. "The Non-Parametric Identification of Generalized Accelerated Failure-Time Models," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 57(2), pages 167-181.
    3. Gerard J. van den Berg & Anders Holm & Jan C. van Ours, 2002. "Do stepping-stone jobs exist? Early career paths in the medical profession," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 15(4), pages 647-665.
    4. Abbring, Jaap H., 2002. "Stayers versus defecting movers: a note on the identification of defective duration models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 74(3), pages 327-331, February.
    5. Abbring, Jaap H., 2003. "Dynamic Econometric Program Evaluation," IZA Discussion Papers 804, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    6. Abbring, Jaap H. & Heckman, James J., 2007. "Econometric Evaluation of Social Programs, Part III: Distributional Treatment Effects, Dynamic Treatment Effects, Dynamic Discrete Choice, and General Equilibrium Policy Evaluation," Handbook of Econometrics, in: J.J. Heckman & E.E. Leamer (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 6, chapter 72, Elsevier.
    7. Geert Ridder & Tiemen M. Woutersen, 2003. "The Singularity of the Information Matrix of the Mixed Proportional Hazard Model," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(5), pages 1579-1589, September.
    8. Van den Berg, Gerard J., 2001. "Duration models: specification, identification and multiple durations," Handbook of Econometrics, in: J.J. Heckman & E.E. Leamer (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 5, chapter 55, pages 3381-3460, Elsevier.
    9. Jaap H. Abbring, 2012. "Mixed Hitting‐Time Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 80(2), pages 783-819, March.
    10. Meyer, Bruce D, 1990. "Unemployment Insurance and Unemployment Spells," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 58(4), pages 757-782, July.
    11. R. A. Kortram & A. C. M. van Rooij & A. J. Lenstra & G. Ridder, 1995. "Constructive identification of the mixed proportional hazards model," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 49(3), pages 269-281, November.
    12. Bo E. Honoré, 1993. "Identification Results for Duration Models with Multiple Spells," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 60(1), pages 241-246.
    13. James J. Heckman & Christopher R. Taber, 1994. "Econometric Mixture Models and More General Models for Unobservables in Duration Analysis," NBER Technical Working Papers 0157, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. James J. Heckman & Vytlacil, Edward J., 2007. "Econometric Evaluation of Social Programs, Part I: Causal Models, Structural Models and Econometric Policy Evaluation," Handbook of Econometrics, in: J.J. Heckman & E.E. Leamer (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 6, chapter 70, Elsevier.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    event-history analysis; identifiability; mixed semi-Markov model; program evaluation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies

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