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Les mouvements cycliques du taux de change et les prix dans les secteurs canadien et américain de la fabrication

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  • Baldwin, John R. Yan, Beiling

Abstract

Durant la période qui a suivi 1970, les prix dans le secteur canadien de la fabrication ont tour à tour augmenté et diminué par rapport aux prix américains, chaque fois à l'inverse des mouvements du taux de change Canada États Unis. Cependant, toutes les industries manufacturières n'ont pas connu une variation des prix relatifs de même ampleur. Dans la présente étude, nous examinons les caractéristiques des industries qui sont liées à l'évolution sur le plan de la compétitivité, mesurée comme étant le rapport relatif des prix canadiens et des prix américains corrigés par le taux de change. Nous constatons que les coûts des facteurs de production relatifs et la croissance de la productivité relative sont les deux facteurs les plus importants qui influent sur les variations des prix relatifs au Canada et aux États Unis. Les pressions concurrentielles émanant des échanges sont des déterminants importants de la mesure dans laquelle les différences de productivité relative se répercutent sur les prix relatifs dans les secteurs de la fabrication des deux pays. Nous constatons également que l'ampleur de la concurrence sur le marché intérieur et l'intensité des exportations influent sur les variations des prix relatifs à court terme au cours du cycle du taux de change.

Suggested Citation

  • Baldwin, John R. Yan, Beiling, 2006. "Les mouvements cycliques du taux de change et les prix dans les secteurs canadien et américain de la fabrication," Série de documents de recherche sur l'analyse économique (AE) 2006041f, Statistics Canada, Direction des études analytiques.
  • Handle: RePEc:stc:stcp5f:2006041f
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    References listed on IDEAS

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