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The Role of Energy in a Real-business-cycle Model with an Endogenous Capital Utilization Rate and a Government Sector: Lessons from Bulgaria (1999-2016)

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  • Aleksandar Vasilev

    (Independent Researcher)

Abstract

We introduce a pro-cyclical endogenous utilization rate of physical capita1 stock into a real-business-cycle model augmented with a detailed government sector. We calibrate the model to Bulgarian data for the period following the introduction of the currency board arrangement (1999-2016). We investigate the quantitative importance of the endogenous depreciation rate, and the capital utilization mechanism working through the use of energy for cyclical uctuations in Bulgaria. In particular, a positive shock to energy prices in the model works like a negative technological shock. Allowing for variations in factor utilization and the presence of energy as a factor of production improves the model performance against data, and in addition this extended setup dominates the standard RBC model framework with constant depreciation and a fixed utilization rate of physical capital, e.g., Vasilev (2009).

Suggested Citation

  • Aleksandar Vasilev, 2018. "The Role of Energy in a Real-business-cycle Model with an Endogenous Capital Utilization Rate and a Government Sector: Lessons from Bulgaria (1999-2016)," Bulgarian Economic Papers bep-2018-05, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski - Bulgaria // Center for Economic Theories and Policies at Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski, revised Apr 2018.
    • Handle: RePEc:sko:wpaper:bep-2018-05
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2015. "Welfare gains from the adoption of proportional taxation in a general-equilibrium model with a grey economy: the case of Bulgaria's 2008 at tax reform. Technical Appendix," EconStor Research Reports 124186, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
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    5. Aleksandar Vasilev, 2017. "Business Cycle Accounting: Bulgaria after the introduction of the currency board arrangement (1999-2014)," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 14(2), pages 197-219, December.
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    14. Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2016. "Search and matching frictions and business cycle fluctuations in Bulgaria: Technical Appendix," EconStor Research Reports 129795, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Business uctuations; capital utilization rate; endogenous depreciation rate; energy use; energy prices; Bulgaria;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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