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The Empirical Relationship Between Exchange Rates and Interest Rates in Post-Crisis Asia

Author

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  • Hwee Kwan Chow

    (School of Economics and Social Sciences, Singapore Management University)

  • Yoonbai Kim

    (University of Kentucky and National University of Singapore)

Abstract

In post-crisis Asia, all crisis-hit countries (except Malaysia) announced a shift from exchange rate based monetary policy framework to the explicit adoption of inflation targeting that uses interest rates as the key monetary policy operating instrument. In this study, we examine the empirical relationship between exchange rates and interest rates, and investigate how the dynamics between them have changed following the crisis. This is carried out by constructing a bivariate VAR-GARCH model for each of the four Asian crisis countries, namely Indonesia, Korea, Philippines and Thailand. The findings suggest these countries do not use interest rate policy more actively to stabilize exchange rates after the crisis, and provide evidence that their domestic currencies exhibit greater sensitivity to competitors’ exchange rates post-crisis. Further, the results indicate that increased exchange rate flexibility has not led to greater stability in interest rates in these economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Hwee Kwan Chow & Yoonbai Kim, 2004. "The Empirical Relationship Between Exchange Rates and Interest Rates in Post-Crisis Asia," Working Papers 11-2004, Singapore Management University, School of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:siu:wpaper:11-2004
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Gheorghe MOROSAN & Ioana Madalina ZUBAS, 2015. "Interest Rate, Exchange Rate And Inflation In Romania. Correlates And Interconnection," Journal of Public Administration, Finance and Law, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 8(8), pages 146-160, December.
    4. Adhitya Wardhono & Badara Shofi Dana & M.Abd. Nasir, 2017. "Rethinking the exchange rate disconnect puzzle theory in ASEAN-6," Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, Universitas Islam Indonesia, vol. 9(1), pages 98-103, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rate; interest rate; bivariate VAR-GARCH model; causation in volatilities;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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