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Exchange Rate: Shock Generator or Shock Absorber?

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  • Maryla Maliszewska
  • Wojciech Maliszewski

Abstract

The paper re-assesses the impact of exchange rate regimes on macroeconomic performance. We test for the relationship between de jure and de facto exchange rate classifications on the one hand, and inflation, output growth and output volatility on the other. We find that, once high-inflation outliers are excluded from the sample, only hard exchange rate pegs are associated with lower inflation compared to the floating regime. There is no significant relationship between output growth and exchange rate regimes, confirming results from previous studies. De jure pegged regimes (broadly defined) are correlated with higher output volatility, but this relationship is reversed for the de facto classification. The last result points to a potential endogeneity problem present when the de facto classification is used in testing for the relationship between exchange rate behavior and macroeconomic performance.

Suggested Citation

  • Maryla Maliszewska & Wojciech Maliszewski, 2004. "Exchange Rate: Shock Generator or Shock Absorber?," CASE Network Studies and Analyses 0272, CASE-Center for Social and Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:sec:cnstan:0272
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Marek Dabrowski, 2006. "A Strategy for EMU Enlargement," Springer Books, in: Marek Dabrowski & Jacek Rostowski (ed.), The Eastern Enlargement of the Eurozone, chapter 0, pages 199-225, Springer.

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