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Climate Change and Extreme Events: an Assessment of Economic Implications

Author

Listed:
  • Roberto Roson
  • Calzadilla Alvaro

    (Scienze Economiche Ca'Foscari University of Venice)

  • Pauli Francesco

Abstract

We use a dynamic general equilibrium model of the world economy to assess the economic implications of higher vulnerability from extreme meteorological events. In particular, we consider the impact of climate change on ENSO/NAO cycles, and the implied variation on regional expected damages, due to extreme events. We analyze how local impacts propagate inside the world economic structure, because of trade relationships among regions. Three effects are taken into account: (1) negative local shocks, determined by loss of resources, (2) changes in demand structure, generated by higher/lower precautionary saving, and (3) variations in regional economic growth paths

Suggested Citation

  • Roberto Roson & Calzadilla Alvaro & Pauli Francesco, 2005. "Climate Change and Extreme Events: an Assessment of Economic Implications," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 49, Society for Computational Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:sce:scecf5:49
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    1. McKibbin, Warwick J. & Wilcoxen, Peter J., 1998. "The theoretical and empirical structure of the G-Cubed model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 123-148, January.
    2. Maria Berrittella & Katrin Rehdanz & Arjen Y. Hoekstra & Roberto Roson & Richard S.J. Tol, 2006. "The Economic Impact Of Restricted Water Supply: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis," Working Papers FNU-93, Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University, revised Jul 2006.
    3. Bosello, Francesco & Roson, Roberto & Tol, Richard S.J., 2006. "Economy-wide estimates of the implications of climate change: Human health," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(3), pages 579-591, June.
    4. Drew T. Shindell & Ron L. Miller & Gavin A. Schmidt & Lionel Pandolfo, 1999. "Simulation of recent northern winter climate trends by greenhouse-gas forcing," Nature, Nature, vol. 399(6735), pages 452-455, June.
    5. Andrea Bigano & Maria Berrittella & Roberto Roson & Richard S.J. Tol, 2004. "A General Equilibrium Analysis of Climate Change Impacts on Tourism," Working Papers 2004.127, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    6. Francesco Bosello & Roberto Roson & Richard Tol, 2007. "Economy-wide Estimates of the Implications of Climate Change: Sea Level Rise," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 37(3), pages 549-571, July.
    7. Olivier Jean Blanchard & Stanley Fischer, 1989. "Lectures on Macroeconomics," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262022834, April.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Roberto Roson & Enrica de Cian & Elisa Lanzi, 2007. "The Impact of Temperature Change on Energy Demand a Dynamic Panel Analysis," Working Papers 2007_06, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    2. Matthew Ranson & Lisa Tarquinio & Audrey Lew, 2016. "Modeling the Impact of Climate Change on Extreme Weather Losses," NCEE Working Paper Series 201602, National Center for Environmental Economics, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, revised May 2016.
    3. Roberto Roson & Martina Sartori, 2016. "Estimation of Climate Change Damage Functions for 140 Regions in the GTAP 9 Database," Journal of Global Economic Analysis, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, vol. 1(2), pages 78-115, December.
    4. Becchetti, Leonardo & Castriota, Stefano & Conzo, Pierluigi, 2017. "Disaster, Aid, and Preferences: The Long-run Impact of the Tsunami on Giving in Sri Lanka," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 157-173.
    5. Naeem Akram* & Asma Gulzar**, 2013. "Climate change and economic growth : An empirical analysis of Pakistan," Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics, Applied Economics Research Centre, vol. 23(1), pages 31-54.
    6. Michael Berlemann & Max Steinhardt & Jascha Tutt, 2015. "Do Natural Disasters Stimulate Individual Saving? Evidence from a Natural Experiment in a Highly Developed Country," SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research 763, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP).
    7. Bosello, Francesco & Roson, Roberto, 2006. "Climate Change, Energy Demand and Market Power in a General Equilibrium Model of the World Economy," Conference papers 331448, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    8. Michael Berlemann & Daniela Wenzel, 2016. "Long-term Growth Effects of Natural Disasters - Empirical Evidence for Droughts," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(1), pages 464-476.
    9. Somayeh Meyghani & Mahdi Khodaparast Mashhadi & Narges Salehnia, 2023. "Long-term effects of temperature and precipitation on economic growth of selected MENA region countries," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(7), pages 7325-7343, July.
    10. Naeem Akram & Abdul Hamid, 2015. "Climate change: A threat to the economic growth of Pakistan," Progress in Development Studies, , vol. 15(1), pages 73-86, January.
    11. Ashfaq Ahmad Shah & Jingzhong Ye & Muhammad Abid & Raza Ullah, 2017. "Determinants of flood risk mitigation strategies at household level: a case of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) province, Pakistan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 88(1), pages 415-430, August.
    12. Radović, Vesela & Pejanović, Radovan & Marinčić, Dušan, 2015. "Extreme Weather And Climatic Events On Agriculture As A Risk Of Sustainable Development," Economics of Agriculture, Institute of Agricultural Economics, vol. 62(1), pages 1-11, March.
    13. De Souza Ferreira Filho, Joaquim Bento, 1999. "Trade Creation X Trade Diversion: Evidences from the GTAP Model in the Mercosur Integration Process," Conference papers 330889, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    14. Jaume Rosselló Nadal, 2009. "The impact of the NAO index on European Airline Transit," CRE Working Papers (Documents de treball del CRE) 2009/5, Centre de Recerca Econòmica (UIB ·"Sa Nostra").
    15. Naeem Akram, 2012. "Is climate change hindering economic growth of Asian economies?," Asia-Pacific Development Journal, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP), vol. 19(2), pages 1-18, December.
    16. Lee, Donna J. & Zhang, J., 2006. "Estimating Global Environmental Implications of Agricultural Trade Liberalization: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis," 2006 Annual Meeting, August 12-18, 2006, Queensland, Australia 25290, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    17. Berlemann, Michael & Wenzel, Daniela, 2018. "Hurricanes, economic growth and transmission channels," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 231-247.
    18. K. Jenkins, 2013. "Indirect economic losses of drought under future projections of climate change: a case study for Spain," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 69(3), pages 1967-1986, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    climate change; extreme events; computable general equilibrium models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • Q51 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Valuation of Environmental Effects
    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models

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