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A model to estimate macroeconomic parameters for growth in EU

Author

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  • Lucian Liviu Albu

    (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy)

Abstract

A main problem for macroeconomic studies continues to be the estimation of capital stock and some derived indicators like coefficient of capital, depreciation rate, etc. In this way we are proposing a simple and intuitively model in order to estimate such basic macroeconomic indicators but avoiding to knowing the amount of capital stock. By applying a simulation model in case of European Union data for a set of periods, we obtained some relevant result. One of them is referring to the negative impact of last global crisis on the coherence of a classic type model. Such model is adequate mostly for a period of continuous increasing in GDP as it was for EU during the period 2000-2007.

Suggested Citation

  • Lucian Liviu Albu, 2014. "A model to estimate macroeconomic parameters for growth in EU," Working Papers of Institute for Economic Forecasting 141222, Institute for Economic Forecasting.
    • Handle: RePEc:rjr:wpiecf:141222
    as

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    File URL: http://www.ipe.ro/RePEc/WorkingPapers/wpiecf141222.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robert C. Feenstra & Robert Inklaar & Marcel P. Timmer, 2015. "The Next Generation of the Penn World Table," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(10), pages 3150-3182, October.
    2. Albu, Lucian Liviu, 2006. "Trends in the Interest Rate - Investment - GDP Growth Relationship," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 3(3), pages 5-13, September.
    3. Nicholas Oulton & Sylaja Srinivasan, 2003. "Capital stocks, capital services, and depreciation: an integrated framework," Bank of England working papers 192, Bank of England.
    4. Vivian Chen & Ben Cheng & Gad Levanon & Ataman Ozyildirim & Bart van Ark, 2012. "Projecting Global Growth," Economics Program Working Papers 12-02, The Conference Board, Economics Program.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

    1. ALBU, Lucian Liviu, 2015. "Investment And Economic Growth On Medium And Long Term," Journal of Financial and Monetary Economics, Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 2(1), pages 2-14.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    growth rate; investment; capital stock; coefficient of capital; depreciation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O52 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Europe

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