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Adaptación a los impactos del cambio climático de sistemas agrícolas basados en papa del altiplano boliviano

Author

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  • Quezada Lambertin, Carlos Eduardo

    (IISEC, Universidad Católica Boliviana)

Abstract

La papa es uno de los cultivos más importantes para la seguridad alimentaria en Bolivia, y gran parte de los sistemas agrícolas del altiplano boliviano se basan en este cultivo. Sin embargo, los rendimientos nacionales son los más bajos de la región (5.7Tnha-1) y los sistemas agrícolas son altamente vulnerables a los impactos del cambio climático. Esta situación puede agravarse en escenarios climáticos futuros. El objetivo del presente estudio es evaluar la adaptación al cambio climático del cultivo de la papa bajo el peor escenario climático para el año 2050 utilizando tres medidas de adaptación: gestión del calendario agrícola, manejo de la diversidad biológica y aplicación de riego complementario. Para ello, se emplea el modelo de simulación de cultivos APEX y se simula el crecimiento y rendimiento de papa bajo el escenario Trayectoria de Concentración Representativa (RCP) 8.5 en la localidad de Patacamaya. Los resultados muestran un incremento significativo en los rendimientos productivos para todas las medidas, y cuando se combinan las tres medidas, la efectividad para reducir los impactos del cambio climático se incrementa, y en consecuencia los rendimientos productivos aumentan en un 48% (46Tnha-1) y la resiliencia de los sistemas agrícolas basados en papa mejora.

Suggested Citation

  • Quezada Lambertin, Carlos Eduardo, 2021. "Adaptación a los impactos del cambio climático de sistemas agrícolas basados en papa del altiplano boliviano," Documentos de trabajo 6/2021, Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), Universidad Católica Boliviana.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:iisecd:2021_006
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Andrade, Marcos, 2014. "La economía del cambio climático en Bolivia: Validación de Modelos Climáticos," Coediciones, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 39829 edited by Cepal.
    2. Luo, Yao & Wang, Hongya, 2019. "Modeling the impacts of agricultural management strategies on crop yields and sediment yields using APEX in Guizhou Plateau, southwest China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 325-338.
    3. Philip W. Gassman & Jimmy R. Williams & Xiuying Wang & Ali Saleh & Edward Osei & Larry M. Hauck & R. César Izaurralde & Joan D. Flowers, 2009. "Agricultural Policy Environmental EXtender (APEX) Model: An Emerging Tool for Landscape and Watershed Environmental Analyses, The," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 09-tr49, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Producción papa; adaptación al cambio climático; modelos de simulación; altiplano boliviano;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q01 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General - - - Sustainable Development
    • Q19 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Other
    • Q24 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Land
    • Q25 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Water

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