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The Global Economic Crisis: Impact on India and Policy Responses

Author

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  • Kumar, Rajiv

    (Asian Development Bank Institute)

  • Vashisht, Pankaj

    (Asian Development Bank Institute)

Abstract

India's financial sector is not deeply integrated with the global financial system, which spared it the first round adverse effects of the global financial crisis and left Indian banks mostly unaffected. However, as the financial crisis morphed in to a full-blown global economic downturn, India could not escape the second round effects. The global crisis has affected India through three distinct channels: financial markets, trade flows, and exchange rates. The reversal in capital inflows, which created a credit crunch in domestic markets along with a severe deterioration in export demand, contributed to the decline of gross domestic product by more than 2 percentage points in the fiscal year 2008–2009. In line with efforts taken by governments and central banks all over the world, the Government and the Reserve Bank of India took aggressive countercyclical measures, sharply relaxing monetary policy and introducing a fiscal stimulus to boost domestic demand. However, this paper argues that with very limited fiscal maneuverability and the limited traction of monetary policy, policy measures to restore the Indian gross domestic product growth back to its potential rate of 8–9% must focus on addressing the structural constraints that are holding down private investment demand.

Suggested Citation

  • Kumar, Rajiv & Vashisht, Pankaj, 2009. "The Global Economic Crisis: Impact on India and Policy Responses," ADBI Working Papers 164, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:adbiwp:0164
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    Cited by:

    1. Swetha Loganathan & Joshy Joseph Karakunnel & Vijay Victor, 2021. "India–European Union Trade Integration: An Analysis of Current and Future Trajectories," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 15(4), pages 484-504, November.
    2. Vijay Victor & Joshy Joseph Karakunnel & Swetha Loganathan & Daniel Francois Meyer, 2021. "From a Recession to the COVID-19 Pandemic: Inflation–Unemployment Comparison between the UK and India," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-19, May.
    3. Kucera, David, & Roncolato, Leanne. & Uexküll, Erik von., 2010. "Trade contraction in the global crisis : employment and inequality effects in India and South Africa," ILO Working Papers 994594013402676, International Labour Organization.
    4. Jiao, Zhilun & Sharma, Rajesh & Kautish, Pradeep & Hussain, Hafezali Iqbal, 2021. "Unveiling the asymmetric impact of exports, oil prices, technological innovations, and income inequality on carbon emissions in India," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    5. Rösl, Gerhard & Seitz, Franz, 2022. "On the stabilizing role of cash for societies," IMFS Working Paper Series 167, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    6. Kolte, Ashutosh & Roy, Jewel Kumar & Vasa, László, 2023. "The impact of unpredictable resource prices and equity volatility in advanced and emerging economies: An econometric and machine learning approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    7. Reddy, Kotapati Srinivasa & Nangia, Vinay Kumar & Agrawal, Rajat, 2014. "The 2007-2008 global financial crisis, and cross-border mergers and acquisitions: A 26-nation exploratory study," MPRA Paper 60148, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Supriya Maheshwari & Raj S. Dhankar, 2017. "The Effect of Global Crises on Momentum Profitability: Evidence from the Indian Stock Market," Vision, , vol. 21(1), pages 1-12, March.
    9. M. A. Lagesh & Maram Srikanth & Debashis Acharya, 2018. "Corporate Performance during Business Cycles: Evidence from Indian Manufacturing Firms," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 19(5), pages 1261-1274, October.
    10. Kucera, David & Roncolato, Leanne & von Uexkull, Erik, 2012. "Trade Contraction and Employment in India and South Africa during the Global Crisis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 1122-1134.
    11. Baaeth Atallah Dalaien, 2016. "Impact of Global Financial Crisis on Banking Sector of India and Jordan," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 2(1), pages 79-95, March.
    12. Ganapati Mendali & Sanjukta Das, 2017. "Exchange Rate Pass-through to Domestic Prices," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 52(3), pages 135-156, August.
    13. Kotapati Srinivasa Reddy & Vinay Kumar Nangia & Rajat Agrawal, 2014. "The 2007–2008 Global Financial Crisis, and Cross-border Mergers and Acquisitions," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 6(3), pages 257-281, September.
    14. Bhuyan, Biswabhusan & Sethi, Dinabandhu, 2016. "An Augmented Taylor rule for India’s Monetary Policy: Does Governor Regime Matters?," MPRA Paper 75287, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Roy, Rathin, 2014. "Room at the Top: An Overview of Fiscal Space, Fiscal Policy and Inclusive Growth in Developing Asia," Working Papers 14/135, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    india global financial crisis; gdp growth;

    JEL classification:

    • E66 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General Outlook and Conditions
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

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