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Asian Migration Prospects: 2007-2012

Author

Listed:
  • Walmsley, Terrie L.

    (Center for Global Trade Analysis)

  • Ahmed, S. Amer

    (World Bank)

Abstract

This paper uses a global comparative static general equilibrium (GE) modeling approach to examine the impact of five alternative scenarios aimed at liberalizing migration flows from and within Asia. The first four scenarios consider the impact of liberalizing migration flows into (i) developed Asia; (ii) North America, Europe, and Oceania (iii) North America, Japan, Europe, and Oceania; and (iv) the Middle East from the less developed economies of Asia. The fifth scenario involves regionally based efforts to improve the working conditions/legalization of migrants among the ASEAN 5 economies. The paper concludes that intra regional policies can offer an important mechanism by which the Asian economies can reap some of the gains from liberalizing migration; particularly given the reluctance of Europe and the United States to open their borders. Such regionally based policies aimed to offer potential gains in terms of real income and long run economic growth, particularly for those countries in East and Southeast Asia.

Suggested Citation

  • Walmsley, Terrie L. & Ahmed, S. Amer, 2008. "Asian Migration Prospects: 2007-2012," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 133, Asian Development Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:adbewp:0133
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    File URL: https://www.adb.org/publications/asian-migration-prospects-2007-2012
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hertel, Thomas, 1997. "Global Trade Analysis: Modeling and applications," GTAP Books, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, number 7685, December.
    2. Walmsley, Terrie L. & Winters, L. Alan & Ahmed, S. Amer & Parsons, Christopher R., 2005. "Measuring the Impact of the Movement of Labour Using a Model of Bilateral Migration Flows," Conference papers 331440, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hertel, Thomas, 2013. "Global Applied General Equilibrium Analysis Using the Global Trade Analysis Project Framework," Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, in: Peter B. Dixon & Dale Jorgenson (ed.), Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 0, pages 815-876, Elsevier.
    2. Idris Jajri & Rahmah Ismail, 2014. "Determinants of migration from ASEAN-3 into Malaysia," Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, The Crawford School, The Australian National University, vol. 28(2), pages 52-62, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    economic growth; migration flows; modeling approach; regional policies; working conditions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East

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