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Debt Sustainability and Financial Crises: Evidence from the GIIPS

Author

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  • Gabriella Legrenzi

    (Keele University, UK; CESifo, Germany; The Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (RCEA), Italy)

  • Costas Milas

    (University of Liverpool, UK; The Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (RCEA), Italy; Eranistis.gr, Greece)

Abstract

We assess the sustainability of the public finances of Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain (GIIPS), allowing for possible non-linearities in the form of threshold behaviour of the fiscal authorities. We provide some evidence of fiscal sustainability when debt gets "too high" relative to a threshold which is not necessarily fixed but varies with the level of debt relative to its recent history and/or the occurrence of a financial crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Gabriella Legrenzi & Costas Milas, 2011. "Debt Sustainability and Financial Crises: Evidence from the GIIPS," Working Paper series 42_11, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    • Handle: RePEc:rim:rimwps:42_11
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Juan Carlos Cuestas, 2020. "Changes in sovereign debt dynamics in Central and Eastern Europe," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(1), pages 63-71, January.
    2. Ruthira Naraidoo & Leroi Raputsoane, 2015. "Debt Sustainability and Financial Crises in South Africa," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(1), pages 224-233, January.
    3. Aviral K. Tiwari & Suleyman Bolat & Mihai Mutascu, 2016. "The Behaviour of US and UK Public Debt: Further Evidence Based on Time Varying Parameters," Journal Transition Studies Review, Transition Academia Press, vol. 23(1), pages 11-19.
    4. Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2012. "Debt Sustainability in India: Empirical Evidence Estimating Time-Varying Parameters," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(2), pages 1133-1141.
    5. António Afonso & João Tovar Jalles, 2012. "Revisiting fiscal sustainability: panel cointegration and structural breaks in OECD countries," Working Papers Department of Economics 2012/29, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    debt sustainability; financial crisis;

    JEL classification:

    • C20 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - General
    • C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General
    • H30 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - General
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General

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