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Análisis macroeconómico de los impactos sectoriales del cambio climático en Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Alvarez-Espinoza, Andrés Camilo
  • Calderón Díaz, Silvia Liliana
  • Romero Otálora, Germán
  • Ordoñez, Alejandro

Abstract

Este artículo presenta los efectos potenciales del cambio climático sobre la economía del país. A partir de datos sobre los efectos del clima futuro en la productividad de componentes de los sectores agrícola, forestal, pesquero, ganadero y de transporte se estima el impacto agregado del cambio climático en la economía del país, utilizando el Modelo de Equilibrio General Computable de Cambio Climático para Colombia (MEG4C). Los resultados muestran que el impacto sería negativo con pérdidas promedio anuales en el PIB del 0,49% en el periodo 2011 al 2100.

Suggested Citation

  • Alvarez-Espinoza, Andrés Camilo & Calderón Díaz, Silvia Liliana & Romero Otálora, Germán & Ordoñez, Alejandro, 2020. "Análisis macroeconómico de los impactos sectoriales del cambio climático en Colombia," Working papers 58, Red Investigadores de Economía.
    • Handle: RePEc:rie:riecdt:58
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ana María Tribín Uribe, 2006. "Tasa De Rendimiento De Capital De Colombia Para El Período Entre 1990-2001," Borradores de Economia 3540, Banco de la Republica.
    2. Omar Chisari & Sebastian Galiani & Sebastian Miller, 2013. "Optimal Adaptation and Mitigation to Climate Change in Small Environmental Economies," Research Department Publications IDB-WP-417, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
    3. World Bank, 2010. "Economics of Adaptation to Climate Change : Synthesis Report," World Bank Publications - Reports 12750, The World Bank Group.
    4. Omar Chisari & Sebastian Galiani & Sebastian Miller, 2013. "Optimal Adaptation and Mitigation to Climate Change in Small Environmental Economies," Research Department Publications IDB-WP-417, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. van Ruijven, Bas J. & Daenzer, Katie & Fisher-Vanden, Karen & Kober, Tom & Paltsev, Sergey & Beach, Robert H. & Calderon, Silvia Liliana & Calvin, Kate & Labriet, Maryse & Kitous, Alban & Lucena, Andr, 2016. "Baseline projections for Latin America: base-year assumptions, key drivers and greenhouse emissions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 499-512.
    2. Arango-Aramburo, Santiago & Turner, Sean W.D. & Daenzer, Kathryn & Ríos-Ocampo, Juan Pablo & Hejazi, Mohamad I. & Kober, Tom & Álvarez-Espinosa, Andrés C. & Romero-Otalora, Germán D. & van der Zwaan, , 2019. "Climate impacts on hydropower in Colombia: A multi-model assessment of power sector adaptation pathways," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 179-188.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Impacto económico; Cambio climático; Equilibrio general;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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