IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v7y2015i6p6957-6975d50436.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modeling Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources and Agriculture Demand in the Volta Basin and other Basin Systems in Ghana

Author

Listed:
  • Barnabas A. Amisigo

    (CSIR-Water Research Institute, Achimota, P.O. Box AH38 Accra, Ghana)

  • Alyssa McCluskey

    (Engineering Management, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80302, USA)

  • Richard Swanson

    (Civil Engineering, University of Colorado, 352 Summer Ave., Reading, MA 01867, USA)

Abstract

An assessment of the impacts of projected climate change on water availability and crop production in the Volta Basin and the southwestern and coastal basin systems of Ghana has been undertaken as a component of the impacts and adaptation study for Ghana by UNU-WIDER and the University of Ghana. Four climate change scenarios were considered in addition to a reference (no change) scenario—two dry and two wet scenarios. To conduct the analysis, a portion of a special framework using three water models was used; the framework is called the Strategic Analysis of Climate resilient Development (SACReD). First, the CliRun water balance model was used to simulate catchment runoffs using projected rainfall and temperature under the scenarios. Second, climate impacts on yields of the economically important Ghana crops were modeled using the AquaCrop software. Third, the Water Evaluation and Planning (WEAP) software was used for the water allocation modeling. The results show that all water demands (municipal, hydropower, and agriculture) cannot be simultaneously met currently, or under any of the scenarios used, including the wet scenarios. This calls for an evaluation of groundwater as an additional source of water supply and an integrated water resources management plan in the catchments to balance demand with supply and ensure sustainable socio-economic development. In addition, the AquaCrop model forecasts negative impacts for the crop yields studied, with some crops and regions seeing larger impacts than others.

Suggested Citation

  • Barnabas A. Amisigo & Alyssa McCluskey & Richard Swanson, 2015. "Modeling Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources and Agriculture Demand in the Volta Basin and other Basin Systems in Ghana," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(6), pages 1-19, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:7:y:2015:i:6:p:6957-6975:d:50436
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/7/6/6957/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/7/6/6957/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zuidema, Pieter A. & Leffelaar, Peter A. & Gerritsma, Wouter & Mommer, Liesje & Anten, Niels P.R., 2005. "A physiological production model for cocoa (Theobroma cacao): model presentation, validation and application," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 84(2), pages 195-225, May.
    2. World Bank, 2010. "Economics of Adaptation to Climate Change : Synthesis Report," World Bank Publications - Reports 12750, The World Bank Group.
    3. De Pinto, Alessandro & Demirag, Ulaç & Haruna, Akiko & Koo, Jawoo & Asamoah, Marian, 2012. "Climate change, agriculture, and foodcrop production in Ghana," GSSP policy notes 3, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Bediako, Isaac Asare & Zhao, Xicang & Antwi, Henry Asante & Mensah, Claudia Nyarko, 2018. "Urban water supply systems improvement through water technology adoption," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 70-77.
    2. Evelyn Corona-López & Alma D. Román-Gutiérrez & Elena M. Otazo-Sánchez & Fabiola A. Guzmán-Ortiz & Otilio A. Acevedo-Sandoval, 2021. "Water–Food Nexus Assessment in Agriculture: A Systematic Review," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(9), pages 1-14, May.
    3. Jamil, Ihsan & Jun, Wen & Mughal, Bushra & Waheed, Junaid & Hussain, Hadi & Waseem, Muhammad, 2021. "Agricultural Innovation: A comparative analysis of economic benefits gained by farmers under climate resilient and conventional agricultural practices," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    4. Teerajet Chaiyason & Juckamas Laohavanich & Suphan Yangyuen & Cherdpong Chiawchanwattana & Nisanath Kaewwinud & Nirattisak Khongthon & Siwa Kaewplang & Jurawan Nontapon & Anongrit Kangrang, 2023. "Accepted Guidelines on the Potential of Water Budgets for Solving Droughts: A Case Study of Chum Saeng Sub-District, Satuek District, Buri Ram Province, Thailand," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-17, May.
    5. Obahoundje, Salomon & Diedhiou, Arona & Dubus, Laurent & Adéchina Alamou, Eric & Amoussou, Ernest & Akpoti, Komlavi & Antwi Ofosu, Eric, 2022. "Modeling climate change impact on inflow and hydropower generation of Nangbeto dam in West Africa using multi-model CORDEX ensemble and ensemble machine learning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 325(C).
    6. Wisdom Akpalu & Channing Arndt & Innocent Matshe, 2015. "Introduction to the Special Issue on the Economics of Climate Change Impacts on Developing Countries: Selected Studies on Sub-Saharan Africa and South-East Asia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(9), pages 1-5, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Amisigo, Barnabas A. & McCluskey, Alyssa & Swanson, Richard, 2014. "Modeling impact of climate change on water resources and agriculture demand in the Volta Basin and other basin systems in Ghana," WIDER Working Paper Series 033, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    2. Barnabas A. Amisigo & Alyssa McCluskey & Richard Swanson, 2014. "Modeling Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources and Agriculture Demand in the Volta Basin and Other Basin Systems in Ghana," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2014-033, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    3. Pangapanga, Phiriinnocent & Thangalimodzi, Lucy Tembo, 2012. "Participation in pro poor agro based enterprises in Malawi: do households’ poverty levels change automatically?," MPRA Paper 39446, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Benjamin Jones & Michael Keen & Jon Strand, 2013. "Fiscal implications of climate change," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 20(1), pages 29-70, February.
    5. Xu, Ying & Findlay, Christopher, 2019. "Farmers’ constraints, governmental support and climate change adaptation: Evidence from Guangdong Province, China," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 63(4), October.
    6. Arun S. Malik & Stephen C. Smith, 2012. "Adaptation To Climate Change In Low-Income Countries: Lessons From Current Research And Needs From Future Research," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(02), pages 1-22.
    7. Abdulai, Issaka & Hoffmann, Munir P. & Jassogne, Laurence & Asare, Richard & Graefe, Sophie & Tao, Hsiao-Hang & Muilerman, Sander & Vaast, Philippe & Van Asten, Piet & Läderach, Peter & Rötter, Reimun, 2020. "Variations in yield gaps of smallholder cocoa systems and the main determining factors along a climate gradient in Ghana," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
    8. Ying Xu & Christopher Findlay, 2019. "Farmers’ constraints, governmental support and climate change adaptation: evidence from Guangdong Province, China," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 63(4), pages 866-880, October.
    9. Channing Arndt & William Farmer & Kenneth Strzepek & James Thurlow, 2012. "Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security in Tanzania," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(3), pages 378-393, August.
    10. Adet, Lucette & Rozendaal, Danaë M.A. & Tapi, Arthur & Zuidema, Pieter A. & Vaast, Philippe & Anten, Niels P.R., 2024. "Negative effects of water deficit on cocoa tree yield are partially mitigated by irrigation and potassium application," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 296(C).
    11. Channing Arndt & William Farmer & Kenneth Strzepek & James Thurlow, 2012. "Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security in Tanzania," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(3), pages 378-393, August.
    12. Kiselev, Sergey & Romashkin, Roman & Nelson, Gerald C. & Mason-D'Croz, Daniel & Palazzo, Amanda, 2013. "Russia's food security and climate change: Looking into the future," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 7, pages 1-66.
    13. Fran Sussman & Nisha Krishnan & Kathryn Maher & Rawlings Miller & Charlotte Mack & Paul Stewart & Kate Shouse & Bill Perkins, 2014. "Climate change adaptation cost in the US: what do we know?," Climate Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(2), pages 242-282, March.
    14. Radoslav S. Dimitrov, 2010. "Inside UN Climate Change Negotiations: The Copenhagen Conference," Review of Policy Research, Policy Studies Organization, vol. 27(6), pages 795-821, November.
    15. Montaud, Jean-Marc & Pecastaing, Nicolas & Tankari, Mahamadou, 2017. "Potential socio-economic implications of future climate change and variability for Nigerien agriculture: A countrywide dynamic CGE-Microsimulation analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 128-142.
    16. Channing Arndt & Finn Tarp & James Thurlow, 2015. "The Economic Costs of Climate Change: A Multi-Sector Impact Assessment for Vietnam," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 7(4), pages 1-15, April.
    17. Bryan M. Maybee & Daniel J. Packey, 2014. "The Effect of the Inclusion of Uncertainty on the Optimal Allocation of Resources to Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation Programmes," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 33(1), pages 67-75, March.
    18. -, 2015. "La economía del cambio climático en América Latina y el Caribe: paradojas y desafíos del desarrollo sostenible," Libros y Documentos Institucionales, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 37310 edited by Cepal.
    19. Mohammed, Kamaldeen & Batung, Evans & Kansanga, Moses Mosonsieyiri & Luginaah, Isaac, 2024. "Alcohol misuse as a social determinant of food insecurity among smallholder farmers," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 340(C).
    20. Robert Mendelsohn, 2012. "The Economics Of Adaptation To Climate Change In Developing Countries," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(02), pages 1-21.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:7:y:2015:i:6:p:6957-6975:d:50436. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.