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Rural-Urban Migration, Structural Transformation, and Housing Markets in China

Author

Listed:
  • Carlos Garriga

    (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis)

  • Aaron Hedlund

    (University of Missouri)

  • Yang Tang

    (Nanyang Technological University)

  • ping wang

    (Washington University in St.Louis)

Abstract

This paper explores the contribution of the structural transformation and urbanization process in the housing market in China. City migration flows combined with an inelastic land supply, due to entry restrictions, has raised house prices. This issue is examined using a multi-sector dynamic general-equilibrium model with migration and housing market. Our quantitative findings suggest that this process accounts for about 80 percent of urban housing prices. This mechanism remains valid in an extension calibrated to the two largest cities where housing booms have been particularly noticeable. Overall, supply factors and productivity account for most of the housing price growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlos Garriga & Aaron Hedlund & Yang Tang & ping wang, 2019. "Rural-Urban Migration, Structural Transformation, and Housing Markets in China," 2019 Meeting Papers 1511, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    • Handle: RePEc:red:sed019:1511
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

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