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Using Dollarized Countries to Analyze the Effects of US Monetary Policy Shocks

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  • Tim Willems

    (University of Amsterdam)

Abstract

Identifying monetary policy shocks is difficult. Therefore, instead of trying to do this perfectly, this paper exploits a natural setting that reduces the consequences of shock misidentification. It does so by inferring from the responses of variables in dollarized countries. They import US monetary policy just as genuine US states do, but have the advantage that non-monetary US shocks are not imported perfectly. Consequently, this setting reduces the role played by any non-monetary US shocks, while leaving the effects of the true monetary shocks unaffected. Results suggest that prices fall after monetary contractions; output does not show a clear response.

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  • Tim Willems, 2011. "Using Dollarized Countries to Analyze the Effects of US Monetary Policy Shocks," 2011 Meeting Papers 200, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    • Handle: RePEc:red:sed011:200
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    Cited by:

    1. Alessandro Gobbi & Tim Willems, 2011. "Identifying US Monetary Policy Shocks through Sign Restrictions in Dollarized Countries," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-145/2, Tinbergen Institute.
    2. Tim Willems, 2018. "What Do Monetary Contractions Do? Evidence From Large, Unanticipated Tightenings," IMF Working Papers 2018/211, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Tim Willems, 2020. "What Do Monetary Contractions Do? Evidence From Large Tightenings," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 38, pages 41-58, October.
    4. Yoshiyuki Fukuda & Yuki Kimura & Nao Sudo & Hiroshi Ugai, 2013. "Cross-country Transmission Effect of the U.S. Monetary Shock under Global Integration," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 13-E-16, Bank of Japan.

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