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A mediumsized open economy DSGE model of South Africa

Author

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  • Stan du Plessis
  • Ben Smit
  • Rudi Steinbach

Abstract

In this paper a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model is specified for the South African economy. Nominal andreal frictions help to make the model estimable, and is then estimated on South African and global data using Bayesian techniques. The empirical fit of the model is validated through a forecast comparison with private sector consensus forecasts. The model is found to outperform the inflation forecasts of private sector economists.

Suggested Citation

  • Stan du Plessis & Ben Smit & Rudi Steinbach, 2014. "A mediumsized open economy DSGE model of South Africa," Working Papers 6319, South African Reserve Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:rbz:wpaper:6319
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2016. "Analyzing South Africa’s inflation persistence using an ARFIMA model with Markov-switching fractional differencing parameter," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 50(1), pages 47-57, January-M.
    2. Emmanuel Owusu-Sekyere, 2016. "The impact of monetary policy on household consumption in South Africa. Evidence from Vector Autoregressive Techniques," Working Papers 598, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    3. Johannes Hermanus Kemp & Hylton Hollander, 2020. "A medium-sized, open-economy, fiscal DSGE model of South Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2020-92, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    4. Guangling Liu & Thabang Molise, 2020. "The Optimal Monetary and Macroprudential Policies for the South African Economy," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(3), pages 368-404, September.
    5. Francesco Sergi, 2020. "The Standard Narrative about DSGE Models in Central Banks’ Technical Reports," The European Journal of the History of Economic Thought, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(2), pages 163-193, March.

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