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Missing Gains from Trade?

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  • Marc J. Melitz
  • Stephen J Redding

Abstract

The theoretical result that there are welfare gains from trade is a central tenet of international economics. In a class of trade models that satisfy a “gravity equation,”the welfare gains from trade can be computed using only the open economy domestic trade share and the elasticity of trade with respect to variable trade costs. The measured welfare gains from trade from this quantitative approach are typically relatively modest. In this paper, we suggest a channel for welfare gains that this quantitative approach typically abstracts from: trade-induced changes in domestic productivity. Using a model of sequential production, in which trade induces a reorganization of production that raises domestic productivity, we show that the welfare gains from trade can become arbitrarily large. JEL CLASSIFICATION: F10, F11, F15 KEYWORDS: Productivity, Sequential production, Welfare gains from trade

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  • Marc J. Melitz & Stephen J Redding, "undated". "Missing Gains from Trade?," Working Paper 144566, Harvard University OpenScholar.
  • Handle: RePEc:qsh:wpaper:144566
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Pol Antràs & Davin Chor, 2013. "Organizing the Global Value Chain," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 81(6), pages 2127-2204, November.
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    6. Ossa, Ralph, 2015. "Why trade matters after all," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(2), pages 266-277.
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    10. repec:hhs:iuiwop:430 is not listed on IDEAS
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    productivity; sequential production; welfare gains from trade;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F11 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Neoclassical Models of Trade
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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