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Implications of Brexit to the Asia-Pacific region: with a focus on least developed countries

Author

Listed:
  • Jacob, Arun
  • Graham, Louis
  • Moller, Anders K

Abstract

Brexit might affect exports of some countries in the Asia-Pacific region disproportionately more than others. Simulation results, under different Brexit scenarios, show that the potential reduction in trade faced by least developed countries (LDCs) of the region can range from 16% to 50% of their current export value to the UK in key sectors such as fish, clothes, textiles and footwear. Simulations also show that it is the larger developing countries from the region that would benefit from any trade diversion that ensues in these sectors. Countries with higher exposure to Brexit induced risks need to engage in deeper analyses of the extent of such impacts and brace themselves for proactive discussions with the UK in order to limit negative impacts.

Suggested Citation

  • Jacob, Arun & Graham, Louis & Moller, Anders K, 2017. "Implications of Brexit to the Asia-Pacific region: with a focus on least developed countries," MPRA Paper 78941, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:78941
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/78941/1/MPRA_paper_78941.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Hungdah Su & Kuo-chun Yeh, 2018. "Asian perception of the EU after Brexit: the case of Taiwan," Asia Europe Journal, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 395-421, December.
    2. Olekseyuk, Zoryana & Osorio Rodarte, Israel, 2018. "Brexit and Everything But Arms (EBA) Countries: Losing Preferences," Conference papers 332960, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Brexit; LDCs; trade diversion; trade policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
    • O24 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Trade Policy; Factor Movement; Foreign Exchange Policy
    • P45 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Other Economic Systems - - - International Linkages

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