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Interdependencia y regímenes cambiarios en Mercosur: un modelo macroeconómico de equilibrio general computado para su medición
[Interdependence under different exchange rate regimes in the Mercosur. A macroeconomic computable general equilibrium model]

Author

Listed:
  • Carrera, Jorge Eduardo
  • Cicowiez, Martín
  • Lacunza, Hernán
  • Saavedra, Marcelo

Abstract

Mercosur is currently going through an intermediate integration stage in which macroeconomic interdependence acquires more importance. Then, the need arises to adopt strategic definitions with regard to the future of the process itself. The study examines macroeconomic interdependence with a macroeconomic computable general equilibrium model. This enables an estimation of the sign and extent of transmission of shocks originating either in a Mercosur country or in the rest of the world. The results of the model simulations show that interdependence has important effects. We discuss the possibility of implementing a process of cooperation as an alternative to play Nash in some key policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Carrera, Jorge Eduardo & Cicowiez, Martín & Lacunza, Hernán & Saavedra, Marcelo, 2005. "Interdependencia y regímenes cambiarios en Mercosur: un modelo macroeconómico de equilibrio general computado para su medición [Interdependence under different exchange rate regimes in the Mercosur," MPRA Paper 7845, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2005.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:7845
    as

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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/7845/1/MPRA_paper_7845.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cooper, Richard N., 1985. "Economic interdependence and coordination of economic policies," Handbook of International Economics, in: R. W. Jones & P. B. Kenen (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 23, pages 1195-1234, Elsevier.
    2. Francesco Giavazzi & Marco Pagano, 1991. "The Advantage of Tying One's Hands: EMS Discipline and Central Bank Credibility," NBER Chapters, in: International Volatility and Economic Growth: The First Ten Years of The International Seminar on Macroeconomics, pages 303-330, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Harrison, Glenn W & Vinod, H D, 1992. "The Sensitivity Analysis of Applied General Equilibrium Models: Completely Randomized Factorial Sampling Designs," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 74(2), pages 357-362, May.
    4. Heymann, Daniel & Navajas, Fernando H., 1998. "La coordinación de políticas macroeconómicas en el MERCOSUR: algunas reflexiones," Oficina de la CEPAL en Buenos Aires (Estudios e Investigaciones) 28429, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    5. Guillermo A. Calvo, 1998. "Capital Flows and Capital-Market Crises: The Simple Economics of Sudden Stops," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 1, pages 35-54, November.
    6. Carrera, Jorge Eduardo, 2004. "Hard peg and monetary unions.Main lessons from the Argentine experience," MPRA Paper 7843, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2007.
    7. José Maria Fanelli & Daniel Heymann, 2003. "Monetary dilemmas: Argentina in MERCOSUR," Chapters, in: Philip Arestis & Luiz Fernando de Paula (ed.), Monetary Union in South America, chapter 8, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    8. Shoven,John B. & Whalley,John, 1992. "Applying General Equilibrium," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521266550, January.
    9. Ilan GOLDFAJN & Gino OLIVARES, 2001. "Can Flexible Exchange Rates Still “Work” In Financially Open Economies?," G-24 Discussion Papers 8, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.
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    Cited by:

    1. Heymann, Daniel & Ramos, Adrián, 2005. "MERCOSUR in transition: macroeconomic perspectives," Documentos de Proyectos 3910, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    exchange rate regimes; Mercosur; CGE models; shocks simulations; policy coordination; channel of transmission;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
    • F47 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions

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