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Directional predictability from stock market sector indices to gold: A cross-quantilogram analysis

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  • Baumöhl, Eduard
  • Lyócsa, Štefan

Abstract

We address the safe haven properties of gold relative to US stock market sector indices using the bivariate cross-quantilogram of Han et al. (2016). Splitting our sample into pre- and post-crisis periods, our results show that the safe haven properties of gold have a changing nature. Before and after the financial crisis, we find only limited quantile dependence and that gold can be considered a safe haven for most of the sectors, except Industrials. On a full sample (1999-2016), there are only three sectors – Healthcare, IT, and Telecommunication services – for which gold can be considered a safe haven.

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  • Baumöhl, Eduard & Lyócsa, Štefan, 2017. "Directional predictability from stock market sector indices to gold: A cross-quantilogram analysis," MPRA Paper 76915, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:76915
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    stock market sectors; gold; safe haven; quantile dependence; cross-quantilogram;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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