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Volatility regime, inverted asymmetry, contagion, and flights in the gold market

Author

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  • Chang, Meng-Shiuh
  • Kung, Chih-Chun
  • Chen, Meng-Wei
  • Tian, Yuan

Abstract

This paper analyzes the correlation among volatility regimes, safe havens, asymmetric effects, contagions, and flights in the gold market for five considered countries during 2002–2018. Based on a two-state, quantile-based Markov-switching GJR-GARCH model, the safe-haven ability of gold against stocks and inverted asymmetric volatility is revealed to be associated with a high-volatility regime. Moreover, contagion (flight) generally occurs if, during a crisis period, the gold market is in the low (high) volatility regime. The results of this study highlight the importance of considering gold market volatility regimes in a study of the relative topics on financial asset allocation.

Suggested Citation

  • Chang, Meng-Shiuh & Kung, Chih-Chun & Chen, Meng-Wei & Tian, Yuan, 2021. "Volatility regime, inverted asymmetry, contagion, and flights in the gold market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:67:y:2021:i:c:s0927538x21000299
    DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2021.101522
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    Cited by:

    1. Mensi, Walid & Lee, Yeonjeong & Al-Kharusi, Sami & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2024. "Switching spillovers and connectedness between Sukuk and international Islamic stock markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    2. Meng-Shiuh Chang & Meng-Wei Chen & Peijie Ju, 2023. "Asymmetry in Hedges, Safe Havens, Flights and Contagion: Unconditional Quantile Regression Approach," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(4), pages 21582440231, November.
    3. Chang, Meng-Shiuh & Ju, Peijie & Liu, Yilei & Hsueh, Shao-Chieh, 2022. "Determining hedges and safe havens for stocks using interval analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Volatility regimes; Safe haven; Inverted asymmetry; Contagion; Flights;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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