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Modeling tourism flows through gravity models: A quantile regression approach

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  • Santeramo, Fabio Gaetano
  • Morelli, Mariangela

Abstract

Gravity models are widely used to study tourism flows. The peculiarities of the segmented international demand for agritourism in Italy is examined by means of novel approach: a panel data quantile regression. We characterize the international demand for Italian agritourism with a large dataset, by considering data of thirty-three countries of origin, from 1998 to 2010. Distance and income are major determinants, but we also found that mutual agreements and high urbanization rates in countries of origin are associated with larger flows of incoming tourists.

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  • Santeramo, Fabio Gaetano & Morelli, Mariangela, 2015. "Modeling tourism flows through gravity models: A quantile regression approach," MPRA Paper 64446, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:64446
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    4. Santeramo, Fabio Gaetano, 2014. "Promoting the international demand for agritourism – empirical evidence from a dynamic panel data model," MPRA Paper 59625, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Feb 2014.
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    Cited by:

    1. Galli, Paolo & Fraga, Carla & de Sequeira Santos, Marcio Peixoto, 2016. "Gravitational force exerted by Brazilian tourist destinations on foreign air travelers," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 76-83.
    2. de Frutos, Pablo & Rodríguez-Prado, Beatriz & Latorre, Joaquín & Martínez-Peña, Fernando, 2019. "Environmental valuation and management of wild edible mushroom picking in Spain," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 177-187.
    3. Vincent Dropsy & Christian Montet & Bernard Poirine, 2020. "Tourism, insularity, and remoteness: A gravity-based approach," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(5), pages 792-808, August.
    4. Alessio Baldassarre & Danilo Carullo & Paolo Di Caro & Elisa Fusco & Pasquale Giacobbe & Carlo Orecchia, 2023. "Bilateral Regional Trade Flows in Italy: an Origin-Destination-Commodity GWR-SAR approach," Working Papers wp2023-18, Ministry of Economy and Finance, Department of Finance.
    5. Nadia Shabnam & Fabio Gaetano Santeramo & Zahid Asghar & Antonio Seccia, 2016. "The Impact of Food Price Crises on the Demand for Nutrients in Pakistan," Journal of South Asian Development, , vol. 11(3), pages 305-327, December.
    6. Djelti, Samir & Hadj Ahmed, Mohamed & Guellil, Mohamed Seghir, 2021. "Migration Networks and the Moroccan Tourism: A Panel Data Analysis || Redes de migración y turismo marroquí: un análisis de datos de panel," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, vol. 32(1), pages 130-147, December.
    7. Rosa Maria Fanelli & Luca Romagnoli, 2020. "Customer Satisfaction with Farmhouse Facilities and Its Implications for the Promotion of Agritourism Resources in Italian Municipalities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-21, February.
    8. José-Manuel Sánchez-Martín & José-Luis Gurría-Gascón & Juan-Ignacio Rengifo-Gallego, 2020. "The Distribution of Rural Accommodation in Extremadura, Spain-between the Randomness and the Suitability Achieved by Means of Regression Models (OLS vs. GWR)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-29, June.
    9. Charbel Bassil & Ghialy Yap, 2024. "Can immigration moderate the adverse effects of political instability on international tourism? A case study of Australia," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(2), pages 477-497, March.
    10. Boyang Xu & Daxin Dong, 2020. "Evaluating the Impact of Air Pollution on China’s Inbound Tourism: A Gravity Model Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-21, February.
    11. Salvatore Costantino & Maria Francesca Cracolici & J. Paul Elhorst, 2023. "A spatial origin‐destination approach for the analysis of local tourism demand in Italy," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 102(2), pages 393-419, April.
    12. Santeramo, Fabio Gaetano & Morelli, Mariangela, 2015. "Enhancing the foreign demand for agritourism," Politica Agricola Internazionale - International Agricultural Policy, Edizioni L'Informatore Agrario, vol. 2014(2), pages 1-10, October.
    13. Maria Giovanna Brandano & Linda Osti & Manuela Pulina, 2016. "An investigation on tourism farms in South Tyrol," BEMPS - Bozen Economics & Management Paper Series BEMPS35, Faculty of Economics and Management at the Free University of Bozen.
    14. Igor Drapkin & Savin Ivan & Zverev Ilya, 2024. "Revisiting the Effect of Hosting Large-Scale Sport Events on International Tourist Inflows," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 25(1), pages 98-125, January.
    15. Christiana Manu, 2021. "The Impact of Trade Agreement on Agricultural Trade Flow in West Africa," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 13(1), pages 1-89, January.
    16. de Frutos, Pablo & Rodriguez-Prado, Beatriz & Latorre, Joaquín & Martinez-Peña, Fernando, 2019. "A Gravity Model to Explain Flows of Wild Edible Mushroom Picking. A Panel Data Analysis," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 164-173.
    17. Jaume Rosselló Nadal & María Santana Gallego, 2022. "Gravity models for tourism demand modeling: Empirical review and outlook," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 1358-1409, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Flows; Arrivals; Agritourism; Gravity; PPML; Quantile Regression;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy
    • Q19 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Other
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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