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Financial Market Contagion During the Global Financial Crisis: Evidence from the Moroccan Stock Market

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  • El GHINI, Ahmed
  • SAIDI, Youssef

Abstract

In this paper, we aim at the study of the contagion of the global financial crisis (2007-2009) on Moroccan stock market. Our study focuses to examine whether contagion effects exist on Moroccan stock market, during the current financial crisis. Following Forbes and Rigobon (2002), we define contagion as a positive shift in the degree of comovement between asset returns. We use stock returns in MASI, CAC, DAX, FTSE and NASDAQ as representatives of Moroccan, French, German, British and U.S. markets respectively. To measure the degree of volatility comovement, time-varying correlation coefficients are estimated by flexible multivariate dynamic conditional correlation (DCC). We investigate empirical studies using the DCC-GARCH model to test the contagion hypothesis from U.S. and European markets to the Moroccan one.

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  • El GHINI, Ahmed & SAIDI, Youssef, 2013. "Financial Market Contagion During the Global Financial Crisis: Evidence from the Moroccan Stock Market," MPRA Paper 53392, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:53392
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    Cited by:

    1. Shafiu ABDULLAHI, 2017. "Stock Market Linkage Financial Contagion and Assets Price Movements Evidence from Nigerian Stock Exchange," Journal of Advanced Studies in Finance, ASERS Publishing, vol. 8(2), pages 146-159.
    2. Ndiweni, Zinzile Lorna & Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo, 2022. "Contagion or decoupling? Evidence from emerging stock markets," MPRA Paper 115170, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Zorgati, Imen & Lakhal, Faten & Zaabi, Elmoez, 2019. "Financial contagion in the subprime crisis context: A copula approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 269-282.
    4. Ahmed El Ghini & Youssef Saidi, 2017. "Return and volatility spillovers in the Moroccan stock market during the financial crisis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 52(4), pages 1481-1504, June.
    5. Zorgati, Imen & Garfatta, Riadh, 2021. "Spatial financial contagion during the COVID-19 outbreak: Local correlation approach," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
    6. Zorgati, Imen & Lakhal, Faten, 2020. "Spatial contagion in the subprime crisis context: Adjusted correlation versus local correlation approaches," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 162-169.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Multivariate GARCH model; financial crisis; contagion hypothesis; break identification; conditional volatility; volatility comovement.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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