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Evaluating Seasonal Food Security Programs in East Indonesia

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  • Basu, Karna
  • Wong, Maisy

Abstract

Food programs are large and expensive components of social safety nets in developing countries. For agricultural households, hunger is more acute in annual lean seasons, but food policies typically do not adapt to seasonality. There is limited research on this because of a paucity of panel data that tracks households across seasons. In this paper, we analyze consumption and income seasonality in East Indonesia. We design a unique seasonal household panel, develop a model to explain how credit and saving constraints generate seasonality, and present results from a randomized experiment of food storage and food credit. In both programs, economic well-being increased substantially (a one standard deviation increase). Under credit, participants report a reduction in both seasonal consumption gaps and food shortage, health improvements when credit is disbursed but deterioration when repayments are due. Under storage, households with a high propensity to save report a strong reduction in food shortages.

Suggested Citation

  • Basu, Karna & Wong, Maisy, 2012. "Evaluating Seasonal Food Security Programs in East Indonesia," MPRA Paper 51219, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:51219
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Akinori Kitsuki, 2017. "A Note on the Theoretical Framework for Seasonal Consumption Patterns in Developing Countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(4), pages 2309-2314.
    2. Gharad Bryan & Shyamal Chowdhury & Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak, 2014. "Underinvestment in a Profitable Technology: The Case of Seasonal Migration in Bangladesh," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 82(5), pages 1671-1748, September.
    3. Marshall Burke & Lauren Falcao Bergquist & Edward Miguel, 2019. "Sell Low and Buy High: Arbitrage and Local Price Effects in Kenyan Markets," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 134(2), pages 785-842.
    4. Tristan Le Cotty & Elodie Maître d’Hôtel & Raphaël Soubeyran & Julie Subervie, 2014. "Wait and Sell: Farmer Preferences and Grain Storage in Burkina Faso," Working Papers 14-07, LAMETA, Universtiy of Montpellier, revised May 2015.
    5. Günther Fink & B. Kelsey Jack & Felix Masiye, 2014. "Seasonal Credit Constraints and Agricultural Labor Supply: Evidence from Zambia," NBER Working Papers 20218, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Seasonality; hunger; food; randomized evaluation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q1 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy

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