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Some Determinants of Interstate Migration of Blacks, 1965-1970

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  • Cebula, Richard
  • Kohn, Robert
  • Vedder, Richard

Abstract

The results of this study for the 50 states imply that considerations of distance play an important role in the migration decision of blacks, with the distance variable being statistically significant at the five percent level or better in 80 percent of the cases. The racial composition variable was statistically significant at the one percent level in 97 percent of the cases. This would seem to imply, as hypothesized in Section II above, that black mi­grants tend to move to those areas where the ratio of blacks to total population is higher, ceteris paribus. The income variable was statistically significant at the five per cent level or better in only 25 percent of the cases and at the ten percent level or better in only 49 percent of the cases. This apparent insensitivity of migration to income has been found in other studies and has been shown to be entirely compatible with the conventional wage rat e analysis. Finally, we turn to the welfare variable. This is a variable is ignored in migration studies to date, but this may be an important oversight. In particular, analysis shows that the welfare variable was statistically significant at the five per cent level or better in 48 percent of the 50 cases. Thus, we infer that welfare-as one specific form of income-may be a very important determinant of black migration and perhaps may be more important than even per capita personal black income in influencing the migration decision of blacks

Suggested Citation

  • Cebula, Richard & Kohn, Robert & Vedder, Richard, 1972. "Some Determinants of Interstate Migration of Blacks, 1965-1970," MPRA Paper 50065, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:50065
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. John Vanderkamp, 1968. "Interregional Mobility in Canada: A Study of the Time Pattern of Migration," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 1(3), pages 595-608, August.
    2. Larry A. Sjaastad, 1970. "The Costs and Returns of Human Migration," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Harry W. Richardson (ed.), Regional Economics, chapter 9, pages 115-133, Palgrave Macmillan.
    3. Gallaway, Lowell E. & Vedder, Richard K., 1971. "Emigration from the United Kingdom to the United States: 1860–1913," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(4), pages 885-897, December.
    4. Paul K. Gatons & Richard J. Cebula, 1972. "Wage-Rate Analysis: Differentials and Indeterminacy," ILR Review, Cornell University, ILR School, vol. 25(2), pages 207-212, January.
    5. Greenwood, Michael J, 1969. "An Analysis of the Determinants of Geographic Labor Mobility in the United States," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 51(2), pages 189-194, May.
    6. Lowell E. Gallaway, 1967. "Industry Variations in Geographic Labor Mobility Patterns," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 2(4), pages 461-474.
    7. Gene L. Chapin & Richard K. Vedder & Lowell E. Gallaway, 1970. "The Determinants of Emigration to South Africa, 1950–1967," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 38(4), pages 268-274, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Sean E. Mulholland & Andrew T. Young, 2016. "Occupational Licensing and Interstate Migration," Cato Journal, Cato Journal, Cato Institute, vol. 36(1), pages 17-31, Winter.
    2. Richard Cebula & Christopher Duquette & Franklin Mixon, 2013. "Factors Influencing the State-Level Settlement Pattern of the Undocumented Immigrant Population in the United States," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 41(3), pages 203-213, September.
    3. Thomas R. Dye, 1990. "The Policy Consequences of Intergovernmental Competition," Cato Journal, Cato Journal, Cato Institute, vol. 10(1), pages 59-37, Spring/Su.
    4. Michael Greenwood, 1975. "Simultaneity bias in migration models: An empirical examination," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 12(3), pages 519-536, August.
    5. Steven C. Deller & Melissa A. Deller, 2010. "Rural Crime and Social Capital," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(2), pages 221-275, June.
    6. Schaeffer, Peter V., 2006. "Outline of an Economic Theory of Assimilation," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 36(2), pages 1-8.
    7. Alex Michalos, 1996. "Migration and the quality of life: A review essay," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 39(2), pages 121-166, January.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    black interstate migration; welfare levels; distance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H31 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - Household
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population
    • R59 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Other

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