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A Panel Cointegration Analysis of the Exchange Rate Pass-Through

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  • Ben Cheikh, Nidhaleddine
  • Mohamed Cheik, Hamidou

Abstract

This paper investigates the presence of a long-run equilibrium relationship in the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) equation for a panel of 27 OECD countries. Previous empirical panel data studies, have neglected the possibility of cross-sectional correlation and spillovers amongst countries. Since the strong economic and financial linkages between OECD countries cannot be ignored, we apply second generation panel unit root and panel cointegration tests which account for possible cross-section dependence across the units in the panel. Our results suggest the existence of a cointegrated equilibrium relationship between the variables in levels, as implied by the theoretical underpinning of the ERPT mechanism. When estimating the long-run pass-through coefficient, both FM-OLS and DOLS estimators show an incomplete pass-through, i.e. import prices sensitivity to exchange rate movements does not exceed 0.70% for our sample of OECD countries. This evidence of partial pass-through would represent a key element in understanding the ongoing global external imbalances.

Suggested Citation

  • Ben Cheikh, Nidhaleddine & Mohamed Cheik, Hamidou, 2013. "A Panel Cointegration Analysis of the Exchange Rate Pass-Through," MPRA Paper 49991, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:49991
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    Cited by:

    1. Antonia Arsova, 2021. "Exchange rate pass-through to import prices in Europe: a panel cointegration approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 61-100, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange Rate Pass-Through; Import Prices; Non-stationary Panels;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General

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