Economic scenario of United States of America before and after 2012 U.S. Presidential Election
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Pankaj Sinha & Aastha Sharma & Harsh Vardhan Singh, 2012.
"Prediction For The 2012 United States Presidential Election Using Multiple Regression Model,"
Journal of Prediction Markets, University of Buckingham Press, vol. 6(2), pages 77-97.
- Sinha, Pankaj & Sharma, Aastha & Singh, Harsh Vardhan, 2012. "Prediction for the 2012 United States Presidential Election using Multiple Regression Model," MPRA Paper 41486, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Christopher D. Carroll, 2003.
"Macroeconomic Expectations of Households and Professional Forecasters,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 118(1), pages 269-298.
- Christopher D Carroll, 2002. "Macroeconomic Expectations of Households and Professional Forecasters," Economics Working Paper Archive 477, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics.
- Hendry, David F, 1997. "The Econometrics of Macroeconomic Forecasting," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 107(444), pages 1330-1357, September.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Bennani, Hamza, 2018.
"Media coverage and ECB policy-making: Evidence from an augmented Taylor rule,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 26-38.
- Hamza Bennani, 2018. "Media Coverage and ECB Policy-Making: Evidence from an Augmented Taylor Rule," Post-Print hal-01773570, HAL.
- repec:zbw:bofrdp:2021_010 is not listed on IDEAS
- Weber, Matthias, 2022. "From Individual Human Decisions to Economic and Financial Policies," SocArXiv 5ju7z_v1, Center for Open Science.
- Kevin Lansing, 2009.
"Time Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 12(2), pages 304-326, April.
- Kevin J. Lansing, 2006. "Time-varying U.S. inflation dynamics and the New-Keynesian Phillips curve," Working Paper Series 2006-15, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Kevin J. Lansing, 2006. "Time-Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 488, Society for Computational Economics.
- Kevin J. Lansing, 2006. "Time-Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," 2006 Meeting Papers 758, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Wändi Bruine de Bruin & Michael F. Bryan & Simon M. Potter & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert Van der Klaauw, 2008. "Rethinking the measurement of household inflation expectations: preliminary findings," Staff Reports 359, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- N. Gregory Mankiw & Ricardo Reis, 2002.
"Sticky Information versus Sticky Prices: A Proposal to Replace the New Keynesian Phillips Curve,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 117(4), pages 1295-1328.
- N. Gregory Mankiw & Ricardo Reis, 2001. "Sticky information versus sticky prices: a proposal to replace the New-Keynesian Phillips curve," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Jun.
- N. Gregory Mankiw & Ricardo Reis, 2001. "Sticky Information Versus Sticky Prices: A Proposal to Replace the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers 1922, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research.
- N. Gregory Mankiw & Ricardo Reis, 2001. "Sticky Information Versus Sticky Prices: A Proposal to Replace the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," NBER Working Papers 8290, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Mankiw, N. Gregory & Reis, Ricardo, 2002. "Sticky Information Versus Sticky Prices: A Proposal to Replace the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Scholarly Articles 3415324, Harvard University Department of Economics.
- An, Zidong & Binder, Carola & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2023. "Gas price expectations of Chinese households," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
- Paul Hubert, 2014.
"FOMC Forecasts as a Focal Point for Private Expectations,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 46(7), pages 1381-1420, October.
- Paul Hubert, 2013. "FOMC forecasts as a focal point for private expectations," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2013-12, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Paul Hubert, 2014. "FOMC Forecasts as a Focal Point for Private Expectations," Post-Print hal-03399408, HAL.
- Paul Hubert, 2014. "FOMC Forecasts as a Focal Point for Private Expectations," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03399408, HAL.
- Adriana Cornea‐Madeira & João Madeira, 2022. "Econometric Analysis of Switching Expectations in UK Inflation," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(3), pages 651-673, June.
- Nunes, Ricardo, 2009.
"Learning The Inflation Target,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(2), pages 167-188, April.
- Ricardo Nunes, 2005. "Learning the inflation target," Macroeconomics 0504033, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 26 Apr 2005.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert L., 2023.
"Perceived monetary policy uncertainty,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert L., 2022. "Perceived monetary policy uncertainty," MPRA Paper 114964, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Philippe Bacchetta & Eric van Wincoop, 2005.
"Rational Inattention: A Solution to the Forward Discount Puzzle,"
NBER Working Papers
11633, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Bacchetta, Philippe & van Wincoop, Eric, 2005. "Rational Inattention: A Solution to the Forward Discount Puzzle," CEPR Discussion Papers 5261, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Philippe Bacchetta & Eric van Wincoop, 2005. "Rational Inattention: A Solution to the Forward Discount Puzzle," FAME Research Paper Series rp156, International Center for Financial Asset Management and Engineering.
- Cohen, Samuel N. & Henckel, Timo & Menzies, Gordon D. & Muhle-Karbe, Johannes & Zizzo, Daniel J., 2019.
"Switching cost models as hypothesis tests,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 32-35.
- Samuel N. Cohen & Timo Henckel & Gordon D. Menzies & Johannes Muhle-Karbe & Daniel J. Zizzo, 2018. "Switching cost models as hypothesis tests," CAMA Working Papers 2018-40, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Samuel N. Cohen & Timo Henckel & Gordon D. Menzies & Johannes Muhle-Karbe & Daniel John Zizzo, 2018. "Switching Cost Models as Hypothesis Tests," Working Paper Series 42, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Samuel N. Cohen & Timo Henckel & Gordon D. Menzies & Johannes Muhle-Karbe & Daniel J. Zizzo, 2018. "Switching Cost Models as Hypothesis Tests," Papers 1808.09686, arXiv.org.
- Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2005.
"Information Flows and Aggregate Persistence,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2005
416, Society for Computational Economics.
- Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2007. "Information Flows and Aggregate Persistence," 2007 Meeting Papers 708, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2009. "Information Flows and Aggregate Persistence," Staff Working Papers 09-11, Bank of Canada.
- Michael T. Kiley, 2008. "Monetary policy actions and long-run inflation expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2008-03, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Döpke, Jörg & Fritsche, Ulrich & Müller, Karsten, 2019. "Has macroeconomic forecasting changed after the Great Recession? Panel-based evidence on forecast accuracy and forecaster behavior from Germany," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Sinha, Pankaj & Srinivas, Sandeep & Paul, Anik & Chaudhari, Gunjan, 2016. "Forecasting 2016 US Presidential Elections Using Factor Analysis and Regression Model," MPRA Paper 74618, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 17 Oct 2016.
- Michael J. Lamla & Lena Draeger, 2013. "Anchoring of Consumers' Inflation Expectations," KOF Working papers 13-339, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Thomas Lux & Jaba Ghonghadze, 2011. "Modeling the Dynamics of EU Economic Sentiment Indicators: An Interaction-Based Approach," Post-Print hal-00711445, HAL.
- Lena Draeger, 2011.
"Endogenous persistence with recursive inattentiveness,"
KOF Working papers
11-285, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Lena Dräger, 2011. "Endogenous Persistence with Recursive Inattentiveness," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201103, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
More about this item
Keywords
ARIMA; Box-Jenkins; U.S. economy; forecast; US 2012 presidential election; macroeconomic variables; presidential debate;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- O1 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development
- F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
- N1 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations
- O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
- C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
- C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
- O24 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Trade Policy; Factor Movement; Foreign Exchange Policy
- E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
- F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-FOR-2012-10-20 (Forecasting)
- NEP-MAC-2012-10-20 (Macroeconomics)
- NEP-POL-2012-10-20 (Positive Political Economics)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:41886. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.