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Implications of food production and price shocks for household welfare in Ethiopia: a general equilibrium analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Robinson, Sherman
  • Willenbockel, Dirk
  • Ahmed, Hashim
  • Dorosh, Paul

Abstract

This paper examines recent movements in domestic cereal prices in Ethiopia in light of world price movements and production trends, and then uses a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model to assess the effects of various types of shocks on prices, incomes and food consumption, particularly for poor households. Several basic scenarios are considered, including the implications of drought-induced livestock and crop production shortfalls in various regions of Ethiopia, world price increases and additional food aid inflows.

Suggested Citation

  • Robinson, Sherman & Willenbockel, Dirk & Ahmed, Hashim & Dorosh, Paul, 2010. "Implications of food production and price shocks for household welfare in Ethiopia: a general equilibrium analysis," MPRA Paper 39533, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:39533
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/39533/1/MPRA_paper_39533.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rashid, Shahidur & Assefa, Meron & Ayele, Gezahegn, 2007. "Distortions to Agricultural Incentives in Ethiopia," Agricultural Distortions Working Paper Series 48519, World Bank.
    2. Kym Anderson & Will Martin, 2009. "Distortions to Agricultural Incentives in Asia," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 2611.
    3. Harris, Rebecca Lee & Löfgren, Hans & Robinson, Sherman, 2001. "A standard computable general equilibrium (CGE) model in GAMS," TMD discussion papers 75, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    4. Unknown, 2001. "General Discussion," Proceedings of the 6th Agricultural and Food Policy Systems Information Workshop, 2000: Trade Liberalization Under NAFTA: Report Card on Agriculture 16839, Farm Foundation, Agricultural and Food Policy Systems Information Workshops.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Sherman Robinson & Dirk Willenbockel & Kenneth Strzepek, 2012. "A Dynamic General Equilibrium Analysis of Adaptation to Climate Change in Ethiopia," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(3), pages 489-502, August.
    2. Amiri, Zahra & Asgharipour, Mohammad Reza & Campbell, Daniel E. & Armin, Mohammad, 2020. "Extended exergy analysis (EAA) of two canola farming systems in Khorramabad, Iran," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    3. Evans, David & Ghelani, Niyati, 2013. "Diagrammatic Back of the Envelope (BOTE) Model for One Country Two Factors and Four Commodities (124) with Illustrations from full Ethiopia CGE model and Showing HOS Origin and 123 Alternative," Conference papers 332371, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    4. Vanzetti, David & Huong, Pham Lan, 2011. "A Comparison of the Impacts of Vietnam’s Free Trade Agreements," Conference papers 332117, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    5. Sherman Robinson & Dirk Willenbockel & Kenneth Strzepek, 2012. "A Dynamic General Equilibrium Analysis of Adaptation to Climate Change in Ethiopia," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(3), pages 489-502, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Food prices; drought; food aid; applied general equilibrium analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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