中国产出缺口的估计(1985-2009)及两种评估方法的比较
[China's output gap estimates (1985-2009) and comparison of the two estimation methods]
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- David T. Coe & C. John McDermott, 1997.
"Does the Gap Model Work in Asia?,"
IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 44(1), pages 59-80, March.
- Mr. C. John McDermott & Mr. David T. Coe, 1996. "Does the Gap Model Work in Asia?," IMF Working Papers 1996/069, International Monetary Fund.
- Orphanides, Athanasios, 2003.
"The quest for prosperity without inflation,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 633-663, April.
- Orphanides, Athanasios, 1999. "The Quest for Prosperity Without Inflation," Working Paper Series 93, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
- Orphanides, Athanasios, 2000. "The quest for prosperity without inflation," Working Paper Series 15, European Central Bank.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Laurence Boone & Michel Juillard & Doug Laxton & Papa N'Diaye, 2002. "How Well Do Alternative Time-Varying Parameter Models of the NAIRU Help Policymakers Forecast Unemployment and Inflation in the OECD Countries?," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002 359, Society for Computational Economics.
- Q. Akram & Gunnar Bårdsen & Kjersti-Gro Lindquist, 2007.
"Pursuing financial stability under an inflation-targeting regime,"
Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 131-153, January.
- Q. Farooq Akram & Gunnar Bårdsen & Kjersti-Gro Lindquist, 2006. "Pursuing financial stability under an inflation-targeting regime," Working Paper 2006/08, Norges Bank.
- repec:diw:diwwpp:dp521 is not listed on IDEAS
- Frederick H. Wallace & Gary L. Shelley & Luis F. Cabrera Castellanos, 2004.
"Pruebas de la neutralidad monetaria a largo plazo: el caso de Nicaragua,"
Monetaria, CEMLA, vol. 0(4), pages 407-418, octubre-d.
- Wallace, Frederick H. & Shelley, Gary L. & Cabrera Castellanos, Luis Fernando, 2004. "Pruebas de la neutralidad monetaria a largo plazo. El caso de Nicaragua," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 0(283), pages 613-624, julio-sep.
- Rodríguez, Gabriel & Castillo B., Paul & Hasegawa, Harumi, 2023.
"Does the Central Bank of Peru respond to exchange rate movements? A Bayesian estimation of a New Keynesian DSGE model with FX interventions,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- Gabriel Rodríguez & Paul Castillo & Harumi Hasegawa, 2021. "Does the Central Bank of Peru Respond to Exchange Rate Movements? A Bayesian Estimation of a New Keynesian DSGE Model with FX Interventions," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2021-504, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
- Ángel Cabrera & Luis Felipe Lagos, 2002. "Monetary Policy in Chile: A Black Box?," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Norman Loayza & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (Series (ed.),Monetary Policy: Rules and Transmission Mechanisms, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 8, pages 197-246, Central Bank of Chile.
- Croushore, Dean & Evans, Charles L., 2006.
"Data revisions and the identification of monetary policy shocks,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(6), pages 1135-1160, September.
- Dean Croushore & Charles L. Evans, 2000. "Data revisions and the identification of monetary policy shocks," Working Paper Series WP-00-26, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Dean Croushore & Charles L. Evans, 2003. "Data revisions and the identification of monetary policy shocks," Working Papers 03-1, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Dean Croushore & Charles L. Evans, 2000. "Data Revisions and the Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0842, Econometric Society.
- Michael Bordo & Barry Eichengreen, 2013.
"Bretton Woods and the Great Inflation,"
NBER Chapters, in: The Great Inflation: The Rebirth of Modern Central Banking, pages 449-489,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Michael D. Bordo & Barry Eichengreen, 2008. "Bretton Woods and the Great Inflation," NBER Working Papers 14532, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Harrison, Richard & Kapetanios, George & Yates, Tony, 2005.
"Forecasting with measurement errors in dynamic models,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 595-607.
- Yates, Tony & Richard Harrison & George Kapetanios, 2003. "Forecasting with measurement errors in dynamic models," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2003 225, Royal Economic Society.
- Richard Harrison & George Kapetanios, 2004. "Forecasting with Measurement Errors in Dynamic Models," Working Papers 521, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Richard Harrison & George Kapetanios & Tony Yates, 2004. "Forecasting with measurement errors in dynamic models," Bank of England working papers 237, Bank of England.
- Benati, Luca, 2007.
"Drift and breaks in labor productivity,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(8), pages 2847-2877, August.
- Benati, Luca, 2006. "Drift and Breaks in Labour Productivity," CEPR Discussion Papers 5801, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Benati, Luca, 2007. "Drift and breaks in labor productivity," Working Paper Series 718, European Central Bank.
- George S. Tavlas, 2015.
"In Old Chicago: Simons, Friedman, and the Development of Monetary‐Policy Rules,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(1), pages 99-121, February.
- George S. Tavlas, 2014. "In old Chicago: Simons, Friedman and the development of monetary-policy rules," Working Papers 177, Bank of Greece.
- Alan S. Blinder & Jeremy B. Rudd, 2013.
"The Supply-Shock Explanation of the Great Stagflation Revisited,"
NBER Chapters, in: The Great Inflation: The Rebirth of Modern Central Banking, pages 119-175,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Alan S. Blinder & Jeremy B. Rudd, 2008. "The Supply-Shock Explanation of the Great Stagflation Revisited," NBER Working Papers 14563, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Alan S. Blinder & Jeremy B. Rudd, 2008. "The Supply Shock Explanation of the Great Stagflation Revisited," Working Papers 1097, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
- Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 2004.
"Timeless perspective vs. discretionary monetary policy in forward-looking models,"
Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 86(Mar), pages 43-56.
- Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 2000. "Timeless Perspectives vs. Discretionary Monetary Policy In Forward-Looking Models," NBER Working Papers 7915, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- McCallum, Bennett T & Nelson, Edward, 2001. "Timeless Perspective Vs Discretionary Monetary Policy in Forward-Looking Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 2752, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Aurélien Goutsmedt, 2021.
"From the Stagflation to the Great Inflation: Explaining the US economy of the 1970s,"
Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, vol. 131(3), pages 557-582.
- Aurélien Goutsmedt, 2020. "From the Stagflation to the Great Inflation: Explaining the US economy of the 1970s," Post-Print hal-03878374, HAL.
- Camba-Mendez, Gonzalo & Rodriguez-Palenzuela, Diego, 2003.
"Assessment criteria for output gap estimates,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 529-562, May.
- Camba-Méndez, Gonzalo & Rodriguez-Palenzuela, Diego, 2001. "Assessment criteria for output gap estimates," Working Paper Series 54, European Central Bank.
- Camba-Mendez, G.C. & Palenzuela-Rodriguez, D., 2001. "Assessemt Criteria for Output Gap Estimates," Papers 54, Quebec a Montreal - Recherche en gestion.
- Bank for International Settlements, 2003. "Monetary policy in a changing environment," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 19.
- Spencer Dale, 2013. "Limits of Monetary Policy," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 81, pages 35-47, September.
- Dana Kloudova, 2015. "Estimating Output Gap and Potential Output for Russia and Its Usefulness by Forecasting Inflation," International Journal of Economic Sciences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, vol. 4(1), pages 45-59, March.
- Steven J. Davis & James A. Kahn, 2008.
"Interpreting the Great Moderation: Changes in the Volatility of Economic Activity at the Macro and Micro Levels,"
Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 22(4), pages 155-180, Fall.
- Steven J. Davis & James A. Kahn, 2008. "Interpreting the Great Moderation: changes in the volatility of economic activity at the macro and micro Levels," Staff Reports 334, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Steven J. Davis & James A. Kahn, 2008. "Interpreting the Great Moderation: Changes in the Volatility of Economic Activity at the Macro and Micro Levels," NBER Working Papers 14048, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Mehra, Yash P., 2002. "Level and growth policy rules and actual Fed policy since 1979," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 54(6), pages 575-594.
- Trehan, Bharat & Wu, Tao, 2007.
"Time-varying equilibrium real rates and monetary policy analysis,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 1584-1609, May.
- Bharat Trehan & Tao Wu, 2004. "Time varying equilibrium real rates and monetary policy analysis," Working Paper Series 2004-10, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
More about this item
Keywords
Potential output; output gap; the production function method; Van Norden method;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C00 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - General
- E01 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth; Environmental Accounts
- C80 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - General
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:38785. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.