IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/37563.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

An assessment of debt sustainability in scenario of Pakistan’s debt burden

Author

Listed:
  • Ejaz, Khurram
  • Javid, Attiya Yasmin

Abstract

The objective of the study is to assess and analyze sustainability of overall public debt and sustainability of external debt of Pakistan using the debt dynamic equation for the period 1971-2008. The study has analyzed public debt sustainability through interest rate and growth rate differential and level of primary budget balance while external debt sustainability is assessed through interest rate on debt and growth rate of exports differential and current account balance. The results of the study indicate that primary budget deficit and current account deficit have played major role in accumulation of public debt and external debt of Pakistan respectively. The study concludes that public debt and external debt of Pakistan is sustainable in few years and unsustainable in many unsustainable.

Suggested Citation

  • Ejaz, Khurram & Javid, Attiya Yasmin, 2011. "An assessment of debt sustainability in scenario of Pakistan’s debt burden," MPRA Paper 37563, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:37563
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/37563/1/MPRA_paper_37563.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sabina Khurram Jafri, 2008. "External Debt Sustainability Analysis for Pakistan: Outlook for the Medium Term," SBP Working Paper Series 27, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department.
    2. Claudio M. LOSER, 2004. "External Debt Sustainability: Guidelines For Low- And Middle-Income Countries," G-24 Discussion Papers 26, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.
    3. Mohammad Aslam Chaudhary & Shahid Waseem Anjum, 1996. "Macroeconomic Policies and Management of Debt, Deficit, and Inflation in Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 35(4), pages 773-786.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. ALEME, Timkete, 2019. "An Econometric Analysis Of Determinants Of Debt Sustainability In Ethiopia," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 23(1), pages 39-55, March.
    2. Shruti SHASTRI & A.K. GIRI & Geetilaxmi MOHAPATRA, 2017. "An empirical assessment of fiscal sustainability for selected South Asian economies," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(1(610), S), pages 163-178, Spring.
    3. Shruti SHASTRI & A.K. GIRI & Geetilaxmi MOHAPATRA, 2017. "An empirical assessment of fiscal sustainability for selected South Asian economies," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(1(610), S), pages 163-178, Spring.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nawaz, Muhammad & Iqbal, Muhammad Mazhar & Ali, Amanat & Zaman, Khalid, 2012. "Fiscal Theory of Price Level: A Panel Data Analysis for selected Saarc Countries," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 152-170, September.
    2. Marco Arnone & Luca Bandiera & Andrea Presbitero, 2005. "External Debt Sustainability: Theory and Empirical Evidence," International Finance 0512007, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Benjamin Musiita & Fredrick Nsambu Kijjambu & Asaph Kabuura Katarangi & Geoffrey Kahangane & Sheilla Akampwera, 2023. "Uganda’s Debt Sustainability: Testing The Efficacy of Debt Overhang Theory," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 15(4), pages 37-54.
    4. Antoniades, Andreas, 2015. "The New Resilience of Emerging and Developing Countries: Systemic Interlocking, Currency Swaps and Geoeconomics," MPRA Paper 68181, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Adewale Hassan & Daniel Meyer, 2021. "Exploring the Channels of Transmission between External Debt and Economic Growth: Evidence from Sub-Saharan African Countries," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-16, April.
    6. Eric BERR, 2008. "Which development for the 21st century? Reflections on sustainable development\r\n (In French)," Cahiers du GREThA (2007-2019) 2008-04, Groupe de Recherche en Economie Théorique et Appliquée (GREThA).
    7. Ahmad Danu Prasetyo & Naoyuki Yoshino, 2013. "Improving the Government Debt Market Quality by Determining the Optimal Structure of Government Debt Portfolio," Keio/Kyoto Joint Global COE Discussion Paper Series 2012-038, Keio/Kyoto Joint Global COE Program.
    8. Safia Shabbir, 2013. "Does External Debt Affect Economic Growth: Evidence from Developing Countries," SBP Working Paper Series 63, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department.
    9. Muhammad Handry Imansyah & Armin J. Kammel, 2009. "Forecasting Financial Crises by Applying the “Temple Model of Financial Crises” Against the Background of the Indonesian Experience," Economics and Finance in Indonesia, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia, vol. 57, pages 277-306, December.
    10. Antoniades, Andreas, 2013. "Recasting the Power Politics of Debt: Structural Power, Hegemonic Stabilisers and Change," MPRA Paper 47015, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Heylen, Fanny, 2010. "Analyzing the poverty impact of the enhanced Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) initiative in Bolivia," Documentos de trabajo 1/2010, Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), Universidad Católica Boliviana.
    12. Mehmet Behzat Ekinci, 2016. "External Borrowing and Inflation in Turkey Between 2003 and 2015: A Simple Linear Regression Analysis," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(1), pages 45-54.
    13. Jamshed Y. Uppal, 2017. "External Debt Management in Pakistan: A Market-Based Assessment," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 22(Special E), pages 25-51, September.
    14. Syed Ammad & Sabihuddin Butt & Shaista Alam, 2012. "Fiscal Responsiveness, Persistence and Discretion: A Case Study of Pakistan," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 15(45), pages 227-244, September.
    15. Evan Lau & ALVINA SYN-YEE Lee & MOHAMMAD AFFENDY Arip, 2015. "Macroeconomics Determinants Of External Debt In Malaysia," International Journal of Economic Sciences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, vol. 4(4), pages 14-26, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Public debt; External Debt; Sustainability; Debt dynamic equation; Primary budget deficit; current account balance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • A1 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:37563. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.