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Testing for weak form market efficiency in Indian foreign exchange market

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  • Sasikumar, Anoop

Abstract

This paper attempts to examine the weak form of market efficiency in the Indian foreign exchange market using a family of variance ratio tests. Monthly Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) data from April 1993-June 2010 were used for the analysis. NEER series was considered for the analysis as it is supposed to capture more information compared to the bilateral exchange rates. Three individual variance ratio tests as well as three joint variance ratio tests were used for the purpose of analysis. After analyzing the results from both individual and joint variance ratio test, it was concluded that Indian foreign exchange market does not exhibit weak form of market efficiency.

Suggested Citation

  • Sasikumar, Anoop, 2011. "Testing for weak form market efficiency in Indian foreign exchange market," MPRA Paper 37071, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:37071
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Anoop S. KUMAR & Bandi KAMAIAH, 2016. "Efficiency, non-linearity and chaos: evidences from BRICS foreign exchange markets," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(1(606), S), pages 103-118, Spring.
    2. Anoop S. Kumar, 2014. "Testing For Long Memory In Volatility In The Indian Forex Market," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 59(203), pages 75-90, October –.
    3. Sushil Bajaj & Naman Sethi, 2016. "An Empirical Analysis of Behaviour of Stock Market Indices," Paradigm, , vol. 20(2), pages 216-235, December.
    4. Adeyeye Patrick Olufemi & Aluko Olufemi Adewale & Migiro Stephen Oseko, 2017. "Efficiency of Foreign Exchange Markets in Sub-Saharan Africa in the Presence of Structural Break: A Linear and Non-Linear Testing Approach," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 9(4), pages 122-131.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Efficient market hypothesis; variance ratio tests; foreign exchange markets; India;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics

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