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On the Long-Run Monetary Neutrality: Evidence from the SEACEN Countries

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  • Puah, Chin-Hong
  • Habibullah, M.S.
  • Abu Mansor, Shazali

Abstract

This paper tests the long run neutrality (LRN) and long run superneutrality (LRSN) propositions using annual observation from 10 member countries of the South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre. The Fisher and Seater (1993) methodology is applied to do the task. Special attention has been given in identifying the number of unit root and cointegrating vector, as a meaningful LRN (LRSN) test is critically depends on such properties. Empirical results reveal that LRN can be deviated from the case of Asian developing economies. In particular, monetary expansion seems to have long run positive effect on real output in the economies of Indonesia, Taiwan and Thailand. However, LRSN is neither fail or not addressable in our study.

Suggested Citation

  • Puah, Chin-Hong & Habibullah, M.S. & Abu Mansor, Shazali, 2008. "On the Long-Run Monetary Neutrality: Evidence from the SEACEN Countries," MPRA Paper 31762, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:31762
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    Cited by:

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    2. Arintoko & Nunik Kadarwati, 2009. "Is long-run monetary neutral? Evidence from Indonesia," Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, Universitas Islam Indonesia, vol. 1(3), pages 197-214, April.
    3. Ahrens, Steffen & Snower, Dennis J., 2014. "Envy, guilt, and the Phillips curve," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 69-84.
    4. Amusa, Kafayat & Gupta, Rangan & Karolia, Shaakira & Simo-Kengne, Beatrice D., 2013. "The long-run impact of inflation in South Africa," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 798-812.
    5. Ugwu Ephraim & Ehinomen Christopher & Nwosa Philip & Efuntade Olubunmi, 2021. "Testing the Validity of the Long Run Neutrality of Money in Nigeria," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 21(2), pages 148-167, December.
    6. Chin-Hong, Puah & Lee-Chea, Hiew, 2010. "Financial Liberalization, Weighted Monetary Aggregates and Money Demand in Indonesia," MPRA Paper 31731, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Tang, Maggie May-Jean, 2016. "A Review of the Literature on Monetary Neutrality," MPRA Paper 70113, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Kuek, Tai Hock, 2016. "A Review of Literature on Monetary Neutrality - The case of India," MPRA Paper 71962, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 13 Jun 2016.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Neutrality and superneutrality of money; sequential unit root test; SEACEN;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East
    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General

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