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Delayed Default Dependency and Default Contagion

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  • Balakrishna, B S

Abstract

Delayed, hence non-simultaneous, dependent defaults are discussed in a reduced form model. The model is a generalization of a multi-factor model based on simultaneous defaults to incorporate delayed defaults. It provides a natural smoothening of discontinuities in the joint probability densities in models with simultaneous defaults. It is a dynamic model that exhibits default contagion in a multi-factor setting. It admits an efficient Monte Carlo simulation algorithm that can handle heterogeneous collections of credit names. It can be calibrated to provide exact fits to CDX.NA.IG and iTraxx Europe CDOs just as its version with simultaneous defaults.

Suggested Citation

  • Balakrishna, B S, 2007. "Delayed Default Dependency and Default Contagion," MPRA Paper 14921, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 May 2007.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:14921
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/14921/1/MPRA_paper_14921.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Giesecke, Kay, 2001. "Correlated default with incomplete information," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 2002,30, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
    2. Duffie, Darrell & Singleton, Kenneth J, 1999. "Modeling Term Structures of Defaultable Bonds," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 12(4), pages 687-720.
    3. Unknown, 2005. "Forward," 2005 Conference: Slovenia in the EU - Challenges for Agriculture, Food Science and Rural Affairs, November 10-11, 2005, Moravske Toplice, Slovenia 183804, Slovenian Association of Agricultural Economists (DAES).
    4. Robert A. Jarrow & Fan Yu, 2008. "Counterparty Risk and the Pricing of Defaultable Securities," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 20, pages 481-515, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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    Cited by:

    1. Balakrishna, B S, 2008. "Levy Density Based Intensity Modeling of the Correlation Smile," MPRA Paper 14922, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Apr 2009.
    2. Damiano Brigo & Andrea Pallavicini & Roberto Torresetti, 2009. "Credit models and the crisis, or: how I learned to stop worrying and love the CDOs," Papers 0912.5427, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2010.
    3. Balakrishna, B S, 2010. "Levy Subordinator Model: A Two Parameter Model of Default Dependency," MPRA Paper 26274, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Default Risk; Default Correlation; Default Contagion; Delayed Default; CDO; Monte Carlo;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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