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Impactos climáticos y económicos de El Niño Oscilación del Sur: Evidencia en PIB agrícola de Bolivia
[Climate and Economic Impacts of El Niño Southern Oscillation: Evidence on Bolivia's Agricultural GDP]

Author

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  • Valdivia Coria, Joab Dan
  • Pareja Marín, Caroline Andrea

Abstract

La investigación analiza los efectos de los fenómenos climáticos extremos registrados en El Niño-Oscilación del Sur (ENOS) en la producción agrícola y el PIB agrícola de Bolivia. Los resultados muestran que condiciones atmosféricas adversas tienen un efecto negativo en el desempeño del PIB Agrícola, una pérdida de 1,2pp y 0,39pp, en la tasa de crecimiento del PIB de Productos Agrícolas No Industriales e Industriales, respectivamente. El escenario contra-factual estimado muestra que en ausencia de eventos climáticos, el PIB Agrícola de Bolivia perdió Bs66.301 millones entre 1991 y 2022

Suggested Citation

  • Valdivia Coria, Joab Dan & Pareja Marín, Caroline Andrea, 2023. "Impactos climáticos y económicos de El Niño Oscilación del Sur: Evidencia en PIB agrícola de Bolivia [Climate and Economic Impacts of El Niño Southern Oscillation: Evidence on Bolivia's Agricultura," MPRA Paper 119069, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:119069
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    El Niño-Oscilación del Sur (ENOS); PIB Agrícola; Cuasi-Correlaciones cruzadas; Cuantilogramas Cruzados; Datos de Panel; Contrafactual;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C19 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Other
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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