Forecasting Soccer Matches With Betting Odds: A Tale of Two Markets
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- Hegarty, Tadgh & Whelan, Karl, 2023. "Forecasting Soccer Matches With Betting Odds: A Tale of Two Markets," CEPR Discussion Papers 17949, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
References listed on IDEAS
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- Angelini, Giovanni & De Angelis, Luca, 2019. "Efficiency of online football betting markets," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 712-721.
- Whelan, Karl & Hegarty, Tadgh, 2023.
"Calculating The Bookmaker's Margin: Why Bets Lose More On Average Than You Are Warned,"
MPRA Paper
116924, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hegarty, Tadgh & Whelan, Karl, 2023. "Calculating The Bookmaker's Margin: Why Bets Lose More On Average Than You Are Warned," CEPR Discussion Papers 17948, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Gray, Philip K & Gray, Stephen F, 1997. "Testing Market Efficiency: Evidence from the NFL Sports Betting Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(4), pages 1725-1737, September.
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Cited by:
- Hegarty, Tadgh & Whelan, Karl, 2023.
"Do Gamblers Understand Complex Bets? Evidence From Asian Handicap Betting on Soccer,"
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117244, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hegarty, Tadgh & Whelan, Karl, 2023. "Do Gamblers Understand Complex Bets? Evidence From Asian Handicap Betting on Soccer," CEPR Discussion Papers 18153, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Karl Whelan, 2024.
"Risk aversion and favourite–longshot bias in a competitive fixed‐odds betting market,"
Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 91(361), pages 188-209, January.
- Whelan, Karl, 2022. "Risk Aversion and Favorite-Longshot Bias in a Competitive Fixed-Odds Betting Market," CEPR Discussion Papers 17518, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Whelan, Karl, 2023. "Risk Aversion and Favorite-Longshot Bias in a Competitive Fixed-Odds Betting Market," MPRA Paper 116923, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Whelan, Karl, 2023.
"Fortune's Formula or the Road to Ruin? The Generalized Kelly Criterion With Multiple Outcomes,"
MPRA Paper
116927, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Whelan, Karl, 2023. "Fortune's Formula or the Road to Ruin? The Generalized Kelly Criterion With Multiple Outcomes," CEPR Discussion Papers 18060, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Hegarty, Tadgh & Whelan, Karl, 2023.
"Disagreement and Market Structure in Betting Markets: Theory and Evidence from European Soccer,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
18144, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Hegarty, Tadgh & Whelan, Karl, 2023. "Disagreement and Market Structure in Betting Markets: Theory and Evidence from European Soccer," MPRA Paper 117243, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hegarty, Tadgh & Whelan, Karl, 2024. "Comparing Two Methods for Testing the Efficiency of Sports Betting Markets," MPRA Paper 121382, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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More about this item
Keywords
Sports Forecasting; Betting Markets; Market Efficiency; Asian Handicap;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
- L8 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services
- L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-SEA-2023-05-08 (South East Asia)
- NEP-SPO-2023-05-08 (Sports and Economics)
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