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The Role of Political Stability in the Context of ESG Models at World Level

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  • Costantiello, Alberto
  • Leogrande, Angelo

Abstract

In this article, we estimate the role of Political Stability and Absence of Violence and Terrorism-PS in the context of Environmental, Social and Governance-ESG data at world level. We analyse data from 193 countries in the period 2011-2020. We apply Panel Data with Fixed Effects, Panel Data with Random Effects and Pooled Ordinary Least Square-OLS. We found that PS is positively associated, among others, to Population Density and Government Effectiveness, and negatively associated, among others, to Research and Development Expenditure and Maximum 5-day Rainfall. Furthermore, we apply the k-Means algorithm optimized with the application of the Elbow Method and we find the presence of four clusters. Finally, we propose a confrontation among eight different machine-learning algorithms for the prediction of PS and we find that the Polynomial Regression shows the higher performance. The Polynomial Regression predicts an increase in the level of PS of 0.25% on average for the analysed countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Costantiello, Alberto & Leogrande, Angelo, 2023. "The Role of Political Stability in the Context of ESG Models at World Level," MPRA Paper 116887, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:116887
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    1. Mamunur Rashid & Xuan Hui Looi & Shao Jye Wong, 2017. "Political stability and FDI in the most competitive Asia Pacific countries," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 9(02), pages 140-155, May.
    2. Costantiello, Alberto & Leogrande, Angelo, 2023. "The Regulatory Quality and ESG Model at World Level," MPRA Paper 116663, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza & Witthuhn, Stefan, 2017. "Corruption and political stability: Does the youth bulge matter?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 47-70.
    4. Laureti, Lucio & Costantiello, Alberto & Leogrande, Angelo, 2023. "The Role of Government Effectiveness in the Light of ESG Data at Global Level," MPRA Paper 115998, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Lucio Laureti & Alessandro Massaro & Alberto Costantiello & Angelo Leogrande, 2023. "The Impact of Renewable Electricity Output on Sustainability in the Context of Circular Economy: A Global Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-29, January.
    6. Alberto Costantiello & Angelo Leogrande, 2023. "The Impact of Voice and Accountability in the ESG Framework in a Global Perspective," Working Papers hal-04043775, HAL.
    7. Muhammad Amin Hasan & Mr. Abdullah & Muhammad Arsalan Hashmi & Ali Sajid, 2022. "International Remittances and International Tourism Development in South Asia: The Moderating Role of Political Stability," Journal of Economic Impact, Science Impact Publishers, vol. 4(3), pages 177-187.
    8. Ummad Mazhar & Juvaria Jafri, 2017. "Can the Shadow Economy Undermine the Effect of Political Stability on Inflation? Empirical Evidence," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(2), pages 395-420, November.
    9. Ferri Giovanni & Leogrande Angelo, 2021. "Stakeholder Management, Cooperatives, and Selfish-Individualism," Journal for Markets and Ethics, Sciendo, vol. 9(2), pages 61-75, December.
    10. Moshi, Goodiel Charles & Mwakatumbula, Hilda Jacob, 2017. "Effects of political stability and sector regulations on investments in African mobile markets," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(7), pages 651-661.
    11. Leogrande, Angelo, 2023. "The Rule of Law in the ESG Framework in the World Economy," MPRA Paper 116293, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Mrabet, Zouhair & Alsamara, Mouyad & Mimouni, Karim & Mnasri, Ayman, 2021. "Can human development and political stability improve environmental quality? New evidence from the MENA region," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 28-44.
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    Cited by:

    1. Leogrande, Angelo & Leogrande, Domenico & Costantiello, Alberto, 2023. "The Impact of Patent Applications in the Context of the ESG Model at World Level," EconStor Preprints 273495, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    2. Costantiello, Alberto & Leogrande, Angelo, 2023. "The Determinants of CO2 Emissions in the Context of ESG Models at World Level," MPRA Paper 117110, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Costantiello, Alberto & Leogrande, Angelo, 2023. "The Role Of Gdp Growth In The Esg Approach At World Level," SocArXiv r56hu, Center for Open Science.
    4. Leogrande, Angelo & Leogrande, Domenico & Costantiello, Alberto, 2023. "The Role of Unemployment in the ESG Model at World Level," MPRA Paper 117845, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Leogrande, Angelo & Costantiello, Alberto, 2023. "The Impact of Government Expenditure on Education in the ESG Models at World Level," MPRA Paper 117216, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Analysis of Collective Decision-Making; General; Political Processes: Rent-Seeking; Lobbying; Elections; Legislatures; and Voting Behaviour; Bureaucracy; Administrative Processes in Public Organizations; Corruption; Positive Analysis of Policy Formulation; Implementation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D7 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making
    • D70 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - General
    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • D73 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Bureaucracy; Administrative Processes in Public Organizations; Corruption
    • D78 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Positive Analysis of Policy Formulation and Implementation

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